Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vrapce vs Vrbovec

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL Center
Vrapce Logo

Vrapce

1 - 2
FT
Vrbovec Logo

Vrbovec

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Vrbovec in this 3. HNL Center matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vrbovec.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Vrapce
30%
Draws
27%
Vrbovec
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vrapce

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vrbovec lately — more wins on the board than Vrapce.
  • Win probability leans Vrapce's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Vrbovec have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Vrapce Clean Sheet 10%
Vrbovec Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vrapce Vrbovec
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 12
Draws 9 7
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.57 1.77
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2022 3. HNL Center
Vrapce vs Vrbovec
1:2
Sep 11, 2021 3. HNL Center
Vrbovec vs Vrapce
2:1
Jun 5, 2021 3. HNL Center
Vrbovec vs Vrapce
8:1
Nov 21, 2020 3. HNL Center
Vrapce vs Vrbovec
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vrapce 56 / 100
Vrbovec 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vrapce Vrbovec

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vrapce Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vrbovec's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Vrapce has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Vrapce found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Vrapce VS Vrbovec
2 Goals Scored 2.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Vrapce

(Home)
29 Jul
Dubrava Zagreb
1 : 2
Vrapce
28 May
Vrapce
2 : 2
Maksimir
21 May
Mladost Petrinja
0 : 7
Vrapce
18 May
Vrapce
2 : 1
Lucko
14 May
Lukavec
1 : 1
Vrapce
Page 1 of 6

Vrbovec

(Away)
26 Aug
Vrbovec
4 : 1
Daruvar
28 May
Kurilovec
3 : 1
Vrbovec
21 May
Vrbovec
1 : 1
Gaj Mace
18 May
Vrbovec
4 : 1
Tresnjevka
14 May
Dugo Selo
2 : 0
Vrbovec
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zagorec Krapina 34 24 6 4 82:38 78
2 Dugo Selo 34 20 8 6 61:31 68
3 Trnje 34 18 9 7 64:43 63
4 Karlovac 34 17 11 6 68:24 62
5 Lucko 34 18 7 9 65:36 61
6 Maksimir 34 17 6 11 55:40 57
7 Vrbovec 34 14 7 13 56:59 49
8 Ravnice 34 11 14 9 37:42 47
9 Gaj Mace 34 13 7 14 53:51 46
10 HASK 34 11 12 11 46:45 45
11 Vrapce 34 11 10 13 56:48 43
12 Bistra 34 10 11 13 53:56 41
13 Kurilovec 34 8 12 14 39:44 36
14 Lukavec 34 8 9 17 37:69 33
15 Tresnjevka 34 7 8 19 53:78 29
16 Ponikve 34 7 7 20 32:53 28
17 Segesta 34 6 8 20 33:76 26
18 Mladost Petrinja 34 5 10 19 32:89 25
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)