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Vrbovec vs Bistra

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL Center
Vrbovec Logo

Vrbovec

1 - 1
FT
Bistra Logo

Bistra

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 3. HNL Center game between Vrbovec and Bistra finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Vrbovec
20%
Draws
40%
Bistra
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vrbovec come out ahead of Bistra on wins alone.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Vrbovec taking it.
  • Regular 3. HNL Center form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Bistra have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Vrbovec Clean Sheet 10%
Bistra Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vrbovec Bistra
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 9
Draws 6 9
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.79 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 26, 2022 3. HNL Center
Vrbovec vs Bistra
1:1
Sep 19, 2021 3. HNL Center
Bistra vs Vrbovec
4:0
Apr 21, 2021 3. HNL Center
Bistra vs Vrbovec
2:1
Sep 26, 2020 3. HNL Center
Vrbovec vs Bistra
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vrbovec 83 / 100
Bistra 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vrbovec Bistra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vrbovec Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bistra's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Vrbovec scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.

Solid form: Vrbovec remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vrbovec VS Bistra
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Vrbovec

(Home)
26 Aug
Vrbovec
4 : 1
Daruvar
28 May
Kurilovec
3 : 1
Vrbovec
21 May
Vrbovec
1 : 1
Gaj Mace
18 May
Vrbovec
4 : 1
Tresnjevka
14 May
Dugo Selo
2 : 0
Vrbovec
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Bistra

(Away)
19 Oct
Bistra
1 : 6
Lok. Zagreb
31 Aug
Bistra
2 : 1
Vodice
28 May
Bistra
3 : 1
Mladost Petrinja
21 May
Lucko
4 : 2
Bistra
18 May
Bistra
2 : 2
Lukavec
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zagorec Krapina 34 24 6 4 82:38 78
2 Dugo Selo 34 20 8 6 61:31 68
3 Trnje 34 18 9 7 64:43 63
4 Karlovac 34 17 11 6 68:24 62
5 Lucko 34 18 7 9 65:36 61
6 Maksimir 34 17 6 11 55:40 57
7 Vrbovec 34 14 7 13 56:59 49
8 Ravnice 34 11 14 9 37:42 47
9 Gaj Mace 34 13 7 14 53:51 46
10 HASK 34 11 12 11 46:45 45
11 Vrapce 34 11 10 13 56:48 43
12 Bistra 34 10 11 13 53:56 41
13 Kurilovec 34 8 12 14 39:44 36
14 Lukavec 34 8 9 17 37:69 33
15 Tresnjevka 34 7 8 19 53:78 29
16 Ponikve 34 7 7 20 32:53 28
17 Segesta 34 6 8 20 33:76 26
18 Mladost Petrinja 34 5 10 19 32:89 25
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)