Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vrbovec vs Gaj Mace

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL Center
Vrbovec Logo

Vrbovec

1 - 1
FT
Gaj Mace Logo

Gaj Mace

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 3. HNL Center game between Vrbovec and Gaj Mace finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Vrbovec
15%
Draws
39%
Gaj Mace
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vrbovec

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vrbovec come out ahead of Gaj Mace on wins alone.
  • Vrbovec are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular 3. HNL Center form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Vrbovec Clean Sheet 10%
Gaj Mace Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vrbovec Gaj Mace
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 7
Draws 6 7
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.73 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2022 3. HNL Center
Vrbovec vs Gaj Mace
1:1
Nov 21, 2021 3. HNL Center
Gaj Mace vs Vrbovec
1:0
Apr 7, 2021 3. HNL Center
Vrbovec vs Gaj Mace
3:2
Oct 14, 2020 3. HNL Center
Gaj Mace vs Vrbovec
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vrbovec 47 / 100
Gaj Mace 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vrbovec Gaj Mace

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vrbovec Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gaj Mace let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Vrbovec's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Vrbovec stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vrbovec VS Gaj Mace
1.63 Goals Scored 2.13
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Vrbovec

(Home)
16 Sept
Vrbovec
0 : 6
Rijeka
26 Aug
Vrbovec
4 : 1
Daruvar
28 May
Kurilovec
3 : 1
Vrbovec
21 May
Vrbovec
1 : 1
Gaj Mace
18 May
Vrbovec
4 : 1
Tresnjevka
Page 1 of 6

Gaj Mace

(Away)
09 Sept
Gaj Mace
1 : 7
Varazdin
27 Aug
Spansko
0 : 1
Gaj Mace
11 Sept
Gaj Mace
1 : 2
Varazdin
27 Aug
Gaj Mace
2 : 1
Karlovac
31 Aug
Bjelovar
1 : 0
Gaj Mace
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zagorec Krapina 34 24 6 4 82:38 78
2 Dugo Selo 34 20 8 6 61:31 68
3 Trnje 34 18 9 7 64:43 63
4 Karlovac 34 17 11 6 68:24 62
5 Lucko 34 18 7 9 65:36 61
6 Maksimir 34 17 6 11 55:40 57
7 Vrbovec 34 14 7 13 56:59 49
8 Ravnice 34 11 14 9 37:42 47
9 Gaj Mace 34 13 7 14 53:51 46
10 HASK 34 11 12 11 46:45 45
11 Vrapce 34 11 10 13 56:48 43
12 Bistra 34 10 11 13 53:56 41
13 Kurilovec 34 8 12 14 39:44 36
14 Lukavec 34 8 9 17 37:69 33
15 Tresnjevka 34 7 8 19 53:78 29
16 Ponikve 34 7 7 20 32:53 28
17 Segesta 34 6 8 20 33:76 26
18 Mladost Petrinja 34 5 10 19 32:89 25
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)