Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vrbovec vs Mladost Petrinja

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL Center
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vrbovec in this 3. HNL Center matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vrbovec.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Vrbovec
15%
Draws
0%
Mladost Petrinja
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vrbovec

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Vrbovec have won more games recently than Mladost Petrinja.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Vrbovec taking it.
  • Regular 3. HNL Center form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Vrbovec Clean Sheet 14%
Mladost Petrinja Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vrbovec Mladost Petrinja
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 4
Draws 6 8
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 1.73 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.8 2.7
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2022 3. HNL Center
Vrbovec vs Mladost Petrinja
5:0
Oct 16, 2021 3. HNL Center
Mladost Petrinja vs Vrbovec
1:5
Mar 20, 2021 3. HNL Center
Vrbovec vs Mladost Petrinja
1:3
Sep 16, 2020 3. HNL Center
Mladost Petrinja vs Vrbovec
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vrbovec 84 / 100
Mladost Petrinja 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vrbovec Mladost Petrinja

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vrbovec Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Mladost Petrinja conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.75 goals per match.

Mladost Petrinja lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Vrbovec scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Vrbovec VS Mladost Petrinja
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 3.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Vrbovec

(Home)
16 Sept
Vrbovec
0 : 6
Rijeka
26 Aug
Vrbovec
4 : 1
Daruvar
28 May
Kurilovec
3 : 1
Vrbovec
21 May
Vrbovec
1 : 1
Gaj Mace
18 May
Vrbovec
4 : 1
Tresnjevka
Page 1 of 6

Mladost Petrinja

(Away)
01 Aug
Mladost Petrinja
0 : 2
Granicar Djurdjevac
28 Aug
Banjole
2 : 0
Mladost Petrinja
31 Aug
Tehnicar Cvetkovec
4 : 0
Mladost Petrinja
28 May
Bistra
3 : 1
Mladost Petrinja
21 May
Mladost Petrinja
0 : 7
Vrapce
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zagorec Krapina 34 24 6 4 82:38 78
2 Dugo Selo 34 20 8 6 61:31 68
3 Trnje 34 18 9 7 64:43 63
4 Karlovac 34 17 11 6 68:24 62
5 Lucko 34 18 7 9 65:36 61
6 Maksimir 34 17 6 11 55:40 57
7 Vrbovec 34 14 7 13 56:59 49
8 Ravnice 34 11 14 9 37:42 47
9 Gaj Mace 34 13 7 14 53:51 46
10 HASK 34 11 12 11 46:45 45
11 Vrapce 34 11 10 13 56:48 43
12 Bistra 34 10 11 13 53:56 41
13 Kurilovec 34 8 12 14 39:44 36
14 Lukavec 34 8 9 17 37:69 33
15 Tresnjevka 34 7 8 19 53:78 29
16 Ponikve 34 7 7 20 32:53 28
17 Segesta 34 6 8 20 33:76 26
18 Mladost Petrinja 34 5 10 19 32:89 25
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)