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Stadium Background

Vrbovec vs Ponikve

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL Center
Vrbovec Logo

Vrbovec

2 - 1
FT
Ponikve Logo

Ponikve

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Vrbovec in this 3. HNL Center matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vrbovec.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Vrbovec
15%
Draws
48%
Ponikve
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ponikve

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Vrbovec have won more games recently than Ponikve.
  • 48% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular 3. HNL Center form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Vrbovec Clean Sheet 13%
Ponikve Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vrbovec Ponikve
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 7
Draws 6 6
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 1.73 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2022 3. HNL Center
Vrbovec vs Ponikve
2:1
Oct 30, 2021 3. HNL Center
Ponikve vs Vrbovec
0:1
Apr 24, 2021 3. HNL Center
Vrbovec vs Ponikve
0:1
Oct 3, 2020 3. HNL Center
Ponikve vs Vrbovec
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vrbovec 35 / 100
Ponikve 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vrbovec Ponikve

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ponikve Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Vrbovec scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Ponikve let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

Vrbovec has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Vrbovec VS Ponikve
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Vrbovec

(Home)
16 Sept
Vrbovec
0 : 6
Rijeka
26 Aug
Vrbovec
4 : 1
Daruvar
28 May
Kurilovec
3 : 1
Vrbovec
21 May
Vrbovec
1 : 1
Gaj Mace
18 May
Vrbovec
4 : 1
Tresnjevka
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Ponikve

(Away)
27 Sept
Ponikve
1 : 4
Din. Zagreb
30 Aug
Bilogora
0 : 2
Ponikve
22 Mar
Ponikve
0 : 1
Rudes
28 May
Ravnice
1 : 2
Ponikve
21 May
Ponikve
2 : 0
Segesta
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zagorec Krapina 34 24 6 4 82:38 78
2 Dugo Selo 34 20 8 6 61:31 68
3 Trnje 34 18 9 7 64:43 63
4 Karlovac 34 17 11 6 68:24 62
5 Lucko 34 18 7 9 65:36 61
6 Maksimir 34 17 6 11 55:40 57
7 Vrbovec 34 14 7 13 56:59 49
8 Ravnice 34 11 14 9 37:42 47
9 Gaj Mace 34 13 7 14 53:51 46
10 HASK 34 11 12 11 46:45 45
11 Vrapce 34 11 10 13 56:48 43
12 Bistra 34 10 11 13 53:56 41
13 Kurilovec 34 8 12 14 39:44 36
14 Lukavec 34 8 9 17 37:69 33
15 Tresnjevka 34 7 8 19 53:78 29
16 Ponikve 34 7 7 20 32:53 28
17 Segesta 34 6 8 20 33:76 26
18 Mladost Petrinja 34 5 10 19 32:89 25
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)