Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vreden vs Erkenschwick

Germany Germany

Oberliga Westfalen 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vreden in this Oberliga Westfalen 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vreden.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Vreden
30%
Draws
31%
Erkenschwick
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vreden

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vreden lately — more wins on the board than Erkenschwick.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Vreden taking it.
  • Regular Oberliga Westfalen 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Vreden Clean Sheet 14%
Erkenschwick Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vreden Erkenschwick
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 10
Draws 2 9
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.75 1.28
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Oberliga Westfalen
Vreden vs Erkenschwick
3:0
Dec 13, 2025 Oberliga Westfalen
Erkenschwick vs Vreden
2:0
May 25, 2025 Oberliga Westfalen
Erkenschwick vs Vreden
3:0
Dec 1, 2024 Oberliga Westfalen
Vreden vs Erkenschwick
2:1
Feb 25, 2024 Oberliga Westfalen
Vreden vs Erkenschwick
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vreden 41 / 100
Erkenschwick 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vreden Erkenschwick

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vreden scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Erkenschwick conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Vreden has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Vreden VS Erkenschwick
2.63 Goals Scored 1
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vreden

(Home)
27 Sept
Vreden
2 : 0
Lippstadt
20 Sept
Schermbeck 2020
1 : 3
Vreden
13 Sept
Vreden
1 : 6
Eintracht Rheine
04 Sept
Sprockhovel
4 : 4
Vreden
30 Aug
Vreden
2 : 0
SpVgg Herne Horsthausen
Page 1 of 6

Erkenschwick

(Away)
27 Sept
Arminia Bielefeld II
2 : 1
Erkenschwick
20 Sept
Erkenschwick
3 : 2
Clarholz
13 Sept
Preussen Munster 2
1 : 1
Erkenschwick
06 Sept
Erkenschwick
2 : 1
Westfalia Kinderhaus
30 Aug
Erkenschwick
1 : 1
Maaslingen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Westfalia Rhynern 36 25 7 4 96:38 82
2 SG Wattenscheid 36 23 11 2 78:28 80
3 ASC 09 Dortmund 36 22 9 5 81:41 75
4 Lippstadt 36 20 10 6 63:29 70
5 Preussen Munster 2 36 21 5 10 80:49 68
6 Gievenbeck 36 14 8 14 61:56 50
7 Arminia Bielefeld II 36 13 10 13 57:57 49
8 Clarholz 36 12 10 14 54:63 46
9 Eintracht Rheine 36 11 11 14 53:63 44
10 Verl II 36 11 9 16 51:64 42
11 Schermbeck 2020 36 10 10 16 53:60 40
12 Sprockhovel 36 11 7 18 59:69 40
13 Erkenschwick 36 10 10 16 48:67 40
14 Vreden 36 11 6 19 52:68 39
15 TUS Ennepetal 36 11 5 20 44:75 38
16 Hiltrup 36 9 10 17 42:57 37
17 Ahlen 36 9 7 20 42:77 34
18 Finnentrop/Bamenohl 36 8 9 19 51:87 33
19 Turkspor Dortmund 36 12 4 20 60:77 31
Promotion - Regionalliga West (Main)