Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vrhnika vs Bistrc

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - West 2025/2026
Vrhnika Logo

Vrhnika

2 - 0
FT
Bistrc Logo

Bistrc

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 3. SNL - West 2025/2026 game between Vrhnika and Bistrc finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vrhnika.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Vrhnika
20%
Draws
29%
Bistrc
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vrhnika

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vrhnika come out ahead of Bistrc on wins alone.
  • Model gives Vrhnika a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).
  • Vrhnika have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 71.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Vrhnika Clean Sheet 68%
Bistrc Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vrhnika Bistrc
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 19 6
Draws 4 6
Losses 7 18
Goals Scored 2.2 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.03 2.6
Expected Goals (xG) 3.01 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 3. SNL - West
Bistrc vs Vrhnika
0:3
Oct 11, 2025 3. SNL - West
Vrhnika vs Bistrc
2:0
May 3, 2025 3. SNL - West
Bistrc vs Vrhnika
1:3
Oct 19, 2024 3. SNL - West
Vrhnika vs Bistrc
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vrhnika 95 / 100
Bistrc 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vrhnika Bistrc

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vrhnika Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vrhnika's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Bistrc let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Vrhnika has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Vrhnika VS Bistrc
2.63 Goals Scored 1.6
1.25 Goals Conceded 3.4
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 80%

Recent Form & Match History

Vrhnika

(Home)
27 Sept
Jesenice
5 : 0
Vrhnika
19 Sept
Vrhnika
2 : 1
Primorje
12 Sept
Slovan Ljubljana
0 : 0
Vrhnika
04 Sept
Vrhnika
4 : 2
Rudar
29 Aug
Bistrica
2 : 0
Vrhnika
Page 1 of 6

Bistrc

(Away)
23 May
Bistrc
3 : 3
Zidgrad Idrija
16 May
Skofja Loka
3 : 4
Bistrc
09 May
Bistrc
1 : 3
IB 1975 Ljubljana
02 May
Izola
5 : 0
Bistrc
25 Apr
Bistrc
0 : 3
Vrhnika
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vrhnika 26 17 5 4 63:21 56
2 Sencur 26 16 6 4 46:27 54
3 Dob 26 15 5 6 54:29 50
4 Tolmin 26 14 3 9 47:33 45
5 Izola 26 12 6 8 53:39 42
6 Rudar Trbovlje 26 11 8 7 56:39 41
7 IB 1975 Ljubljana 26 11 3 12 35:44 36
8 Sobec Lesce 26 10 6 10 31:32 36
9 Skofja Loka 26 7 9 10 37:42 30
10 Ziri 26 7 6 13 30:52 27
11 Fama Vipava 26 6 8 12 28:42 26
12 Ljubljana Svoboda 26 6 5 15 30:51 23
13 Zidgrad Idrija 26 6 4 16 34:57 22
14 Bistrc 26 5 4 17 35:71 19
Promotion - 2. SNL (Main)