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Vrsac vs Mladost Backi Jarak

Serbia Serbia

Srpska Liga - Vojvodina 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vrsac play Mladost Backi Jarak in the Srpska Liga - Vojvodina 2018/2019. It looks like a close match. Recently, Vrsac averaged 1.05 goals scored and 1.23 conceded. Mladost Backi Jarak averaged 1.47 goals scored and 1.37 conceded. In past meetings, Vrsac won 2, Mladost Backi Jarak won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 4, 2019 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Vrsac and 1.56 for Mladost Backi Jarak. This points to a Vrsac double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Vrsac
33%
Draws
32%
Mladost Backi Jarak
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Vrsac

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Vrsac picked up more points recently compared to Mladost Backi Jarak.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 1.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 44%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%
Vrsac Clean Sheet 15%
Mladost Backi Jarak Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 62%
Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vrsac Mladost Backi Jarak
Matches Played 43 38
Wins 14 13
Draws 14 10
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1.05 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2019 Srpska Liga - Vojvodina
Vrsac vs Mladost Backi Jarak
3:1
Oct 17, 2018 Srpska Liga - Vojvodina
Mladost Backi Jarak vs Vrsac
2:0
Mar 31, 2012 Srpska Liga - Vojvodina
Mladost Backi Jarak vs Vrsac
1:1
Sep 3, 2011 Srpska Liga - Vojvodina
Vrsac vs Mladost Backi Jarak
1:0
Apr 9, 2011 Srpska Liga - Vojvodina
Mladost Backi Jarak vs Vrsac
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vrsac 35 / 100
Mladost Backi Jarak 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vrsac Mladost Backi Jarak

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Vrsac or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +29.5%
3.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15.7%
2.63
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Vrsac attacking → ← attacking Mladost Backi Jarak

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vrsac scored in 58% of their last 43 games.

Mladost Backi Jarak let in goals in 74% of their last 38 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Vrsac went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Mladost Backi Jarak lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

56 Points in last 5 49
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 2.00
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50