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Vrsac vs Radnicki S. Mitrovica

Serbia Serbia

Prva Liga 2024/2025 Gradski stadion Vrsac
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This Prva Liga 2024/2025 encounter between Vrsac and Radnicki S. Mitrovica promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Vrsac averages 0.9 goals scored and 1.2 conceded in recent matches. Radnicki S. Mitrovica shows a form average of 0.8 goals scored and 0.9 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 2 wins for Vrsac, 2 wins for Radnicki S. Mitrovica, and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 12.03.25 ended in a 0:1 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 0.72 for Vrsac and 1.19 for Radnicki S. Mitrovica, suggesting the primary value lies in the Vrsac double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Vrsac
33%
Draws
30%
Radnicki S. Mitrovica
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Vrsac

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Vrsac picked up more points recently compared to Radnicki S. Mitrovica.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.72 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 52%
Over 2.5 Goals 29%
Over 3.5 Goals 17%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Vrsac Clean Sheet 20%
Radnicki S. Mitrovica Clean Sheet 19%
First Half Goal 47%
Second Half Goal 49%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vrsac Radnicki S. Mitrovica
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 7
Draws 11 12
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 0.93 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.17 0.93

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

12.03.25 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Vrsac vs Radnicki S. Mitrovica
0:1
13.10.24 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Radnicki S. Mitrovica vs Vrsac
4:2
18.11.23 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Vrsac vs Radnicki S. Mitrovica
1:0
12.08.23 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Radnicki S. Mitrovica vs Vrsac
0:0
24.02.23 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Vrsac vs Radnicki S. Mitrovica
2:1

Tactical Matchup Profile

Field Positions & Control Styles

Vrsac

Pressing Intensity Medium Block
Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks
Wing Attack Frequency Play through the middle
Defensive Alignment Push high up (Offside trap)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Radnicki S. Mitrovica

Pressing Intensity Medium Block
Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks
Wing Attack Frequency Play through the middle
Defensive Alignment Sit deep
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vrsac Compare

Top Goalscorer N/A
0 Goals
Assists Leader N/A
0 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.19
Avg xA / game 0.13

Radnicki S. Mitrovica Compare

Top Goalscorer Antwi B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader N/A
0 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Availability Alerts

No availability alerts or suspensions reported for this fixture.

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vrsac 37 / 100
Radnicki S. Mitrovica 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vrsac Radnicki S. Mitrovica

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Vrsac or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +27.6%
3.45
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +26.1%
4.35
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Expected Match Flow Timeline

Dominance and pressure projections by 15-minute intervals

0' - 15' Dominance Index

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

Vrsac 41%
Radnicki S. Mitrovica 24%
15' - 30' Dominance Index

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

Vrsac 35%
Radnicki S. Mitrovica 32%
30' - 45' Dominance Index

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

Vrsac 37%
Radnicki S. Mitrovica 30%
45' - 60' Dominance Index

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

Vrsac 39%
Radnicki S. Mitrovica 29%
60' - 75' Dominance Index

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

Vrsac 33%
Radnicki S. Mitrovica 33%
75' - 90' Dominance Index

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

Vrsac 43%
Radnicki S. Mitrovica 35%

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Vrsac attacking → ← attacking Radnicki S. Mitrovica

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vrsac have found the net in 53% of their last 30 matches.

Radnicki S. Mitrovica have conceded at least one goal in 60% of their last 30 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 2.20 goals per match.

Vrsac remained undefeated in 3 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Radnicki S. Mitrovica suffered defeat in 3 of their last 5 overall games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risk Factor

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Risk Factor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

38 Points in last 5 33
0.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Radnik Surdulica30188448:1262
2Javor301411531:1953
3Macva Sabac30158736:2153
4Mladost GAT301313428:2052
5FK Vozdovac301210830:2146
6Borac 192630129939:3545
7Graficar Beograd301110939:3843
8Vrsac301191028:2942
9Zemun30913835:2940
10Radnicki S. Mitrovica30714922:2735
11Dubocica307101335:4931
12Smederevo307101323:3731
13Sloven Ruma306121227:4030
14Trayal Krusevac30871530:3928
15Indjija30591626:4324
16Sloboda30491718:3621