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Várzea Grande EC vs Atletico MT

Brazil Brazil

Matogrossense 2 2024
Várzea Grande EC Logo

Várzea Grande EC

1 - 0
FT
Atletico MT Logo

Atletico MT

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Várzea Grande EC in this Matogrossense 2 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Várzea Grande EC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Várzea Grande EC
20%
Draws
15%
Atletico MT
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Várzea Grande EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Várzea Grande EC have won more games recently than Atletico MT.
  • 65% — that's where the model lands on Várzea Grande EC taking it.
  • Regular Matogrossense 2 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Várzea Grande EC Clean Sheet 20%
Atletico MT Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Várzea Grande EC Atletico MT
Matches Played 29 12
Wins 8 0
Draws 6 2
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.24 0.58
Goals Conceded 1.83 3.08
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2024 Matogrossense 2
Várzea Grande EC vs Atletico MT
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Várzea Grande EC 85 / 100
Atletico MT 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Várzea Grande EC Atletico MT

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Várzea Grande EC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico MT let in goals in 92% of their last 12 matches.

Attacking prowess: Várzea Grande EC scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Várzea Grande EC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Atletico MT registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Várzea Grande EC VS Atletico MT
0.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 3
63% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Várzea Grande EC

(Home)
27 Sept
Várzea Grande EC
2 : 5
Chapada
23 Sept
Uirapuru
1 : 4
Várzea Grande EC
20 Sept
Várzea Grande EC
1 : 3
Uniao Rondonopolis
13 Sept
Santa Cruz MT
1 : 2
Várzea Grande EC
08 Feb
Cuiaba
0 : 1
Várzea Grande EC
Page 1 of 6

Atletico MT

(Away)
17 May
Atletico MT
1 : 7
Uirapuru
09 May
Cacerense
3 : 0
Atletico MT
27 Apr
Atletico MT
0 : 0
Paulistano FC
20 Apr
Acao
2 : 2
Atletico MT
06 Jul
Santa Cruz MT
3 : 0
Atletico MT
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rondonopolis EC 5 3 2 0 19:5 11
2 Acao 4 3 0 1 9:6 9
3 Pocone 4 2 1 1 7:4 7
4 Várzea Grande EC 4 1 1 2 6:7 4
5 Atletico MT 4 0 0 4 0:10 0
6 Paulistano FC 1 0 0 1 0:9 0
Promotion - Matogrossense 2 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sinop FC 5 4 1 0 8:3 13
2 Gremio Sorriso 5 3 2 0 8:3 11
3 Caceres 5 2 1 2 6:6 7
4 Sport Sinop 5 2 0 3 6:6 6
5 Campo Novo 5 1 0 4 6:10 3
6 Santa Cruz MT 5 1 0 4 3:9 3
Promotion - Matogrossense 2 2024 (Play Offs)