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Várzea Grande EC vs Dom Bosco

Brazil Brazil

Matogrossense 2 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Várzea Grande EC in this Matogrossense 2 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Várzea Grande EC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Várzea Grande EC
15%
Draws
34%
Dom Bosco
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Várzea Grande EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Várzea Grande EC average 1.24 goals a game right now, well clear of Dom Bosco's 0.9.
  • Várzea Grande EC are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Matogrossense 2 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Várzea Grande EC Clean Sheet 10%
Dom Bosco Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Várzea Grande EC Dom Bosco
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 8
Draws 6 8
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.24 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 16, 2025 Matogrossense 2
Várzea Grande EC vs Dom Bosco
2:1
Jan 19, 2019 Matogrossense
Dom Bosco vs Várzea Grande EC
2:1
Mar 5, 2017 Matogrossense
Dom Bosco vs Várzea Grande EC
2:1
Feb 1, 2017 Matogrossense
Várzea Grande EC vs Dom Bosco
0:3
Apr 19, 2015 Matogrossense
Várzea Grande EC vs Dom Bosco
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Várzea Grande EC 34 / 100
Dom Bosco 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Várzea Grande EC Dom Bosco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dom Bosco let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Várzea Grande EC's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Solid form: Várzea Grande EC remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Várzea Grande EC VS Dom Bosco
0.63 Goals Scored 3
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Várzea Grande EC

(Home)
27 Sept
Várzea Grande EC
2 : 5
Chapada
23 Sept
Uirapuru
1 : 4
Várzea Grande EC
20 Sept
Várzea Grande EC
1 : 3
Uniao Rondonopolis
13 Sept
Santa Cruz MT
1 : 2
Várzea Grande EC
08 Feb
Cuiaba
0 : 1
Várzea Grande EC
Page 1 of 6

Dom Bosco

(Away)
05 Jul
Dom Bosco
3 : 0
Uirapuru
28 Jun
Acao
1 : 2
Dom Bosco
19 Jun
Dom Bosco
1 : 2
Cacerense
16 Jun
Várzea Grande EC
2 : 1
Dom Bosco
24 Feb
Luverdense
4 : 1
Dom Bosco
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sorriso EC 4 4 0 0 12:3 12
2 Chapada 4 2 1 1 10:5 7
3 Santa Cruz MT 4 2 1 1 8:4 7
4 Campo Novo 4 1 0 3 5:12 3
5 Atletico MT 4 0 0 4 4:15 0
6 Juara 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Matogrossense 2 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cacerense 4 3 1 0 8:2 10
2 Várzea Grande EC 4 2 1 1 8:8 7
3 Dom Bosco 4 2 0 2 7:5 6
4 Uirapuru 4 1 0 3 7:14 3
5 Acao 4 1 0 3 7:8 3
Promotion - Matogrossense 2 2025 (Play Offs)