Sport Picks
Várzea Grande EC vs Paulistano FC
Brazil
Matogrossense 2 2024 
AI Match Summary
Várzea Grande EC host Paulistano FC in the Matogrossense 2 2024. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Paulistano FC have shipped 1.5 goals a game lately, while Várzea Grande EC have conceded 1.63 and scored 1.25. Head-to-head, Várzea Grande EC have won 0 to Paulistano FC's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on May 25, 2024, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.38 - 0.94) back Várzea Grande EC to edge this. Várzea Grande EC in a double chance market carries the safer edge.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Várzea Grande EC come out ahead of Paulistano FC on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Várzea Grande EC's way, sitting at 40%.
- Regular Matogrossense 2 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Várzea Grande EC | Paulistano FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 5 |
| Wins | 6 | 0 |
| Draws | 6 | 2 |
| Losses | 17 | 3 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 0.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 0.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.63 | 1.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Várzea Grande EC scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.
Paulistano FC has conceded goals in 60% of their last 5 outings.
Paulistano FC's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Historical meetings average 0.00 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rondonopolis EC | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 19:5 | 11 |
| 2 | Acao | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:6 | 9 |
| 3 | Pocone | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:4 | 7 |
| 4 | Várzea Grande EC | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:7 | 4 |
| 5 | Atletico MT | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0:10 | 0 |
| 6 | Paulistano FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:9 | 0 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sinop FC | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8:3 | 13 |
| 2 | Gremio Sorriso | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:3 | 11 |
| 3 | Caceres | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:6 | 7 |
| 4 | Sport Sinop | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:6 | 6 |
| 5 | Campo Novo | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6:10 | 3 |
| 6 | Santa Cruz MT | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3:9 | 3 |