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Várzea Grande EC vs Uniao EC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Matogrossense 2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Uniao EC in this Campeonato Matogrossense 2017 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Uniao EC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Várzea Grande EC
20%
Draws
46%
Uniao EC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Uniao EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Várzea Grande EC haven't matched Uniao EC's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Campeonato Matogrossense 2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Uniao EC here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Várzea Grande EC Clean Sheet 17%
Uniao EC Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Várzea Grande EC Uniao EC
Matches Played 32 26
Wins 8 10
Draws 6 8
Losses 18 8
Goals Scored 1.25 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.12
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 19, 2017 Matogrossense
Uniao EC vs Várzea Grande EC
3:0
Feb 12, 2017 Matogrossense
Várzea Grande EC vs Uniao EC
1:3
Apr 10, 2016 Matogrossense
Uniao EC vs Várzea Grande EC
3:2
Apr 3, 2016 Matogrossense
Várzea Grande EC vs Uniao EC
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Várzea Grande EC 31 / 100
Uniao EC 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Várzea Grande EC Uniao EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.25 goals.

Várzea Grande EC scored in 75% of their last 32 games.

Uniao EC has conceded goals in 62% of their last 26 outings.

Solid form: Várzea Grande EC remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Várzea Grande EC VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Várzea Grande EC

(Home)
07 Oct
Chapada
3 : 0
Várzea Grande EC
27 Sept
Várzea Grande EC
2 : 5
Chapada
23 Sept
Uirapuru
1 : 4
Várzea Grande EC
20 Sept
Várzea Grande EC
1 : 3
Uniao Rondonopolis
13 Sept
Santa Cruz MT
1 : 2
Várzea Grande EC
Page 1 of 7

Uniao EC

(Away)
30 Mar
Cuiaba
1 : 1
Uniao EC
23 Mar
Uniao EC
0 : 3
Cuiaba
12 Mar
Uniao EC
2 : 1
Araguaia
23 Feb
Dom Bosco
0 : 0
Uniao EC
19 Feb
Uniao EC
3 : 0
Várzea Grande EC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sinop FC 8 5 3 0 16:6 18
2 Luverdense 8 5 3 0 16:8 18
3 Mixto 8 2 2 4 14:16 8
4 Operario VG 8 2 1 5 7:14 7
5 Cacerense 8 0 3 5 7:16 3
Promotion - Campeonato Matogrossense 2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campeonato Matogrossense 2017 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cuiaba 8 6 2 0 22:4 20
2 Dom Bosco 8 4 2 2 15:10 14
3 Uniao EC 8 5 2 1 13:7 11
4 Araguaia 8 1 0 7 4:16 3
5 Várzea Grande EC 8 1 0 7 4:21 3
Promotion - Campeonato Matogrossense 2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campeonato Matogrossense 2017 (Play Offs)