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Várzea Grande EC vs Uniao EC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Matogrossense 2016
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AI Match Summary

Várzea Grande EC in this Campeonato Matogrossense 2016 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Várzea Grande EC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Várzea Grande EC
20%
Draws
46%
Uniao EC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Uniao EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Uniao EC have won more games recently than Várzea Grande EC.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Campeonato Matogrossense 2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Uniao EC have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 32%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Várzea Grande EC Clean Sheet 17%
Uniao EC Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Várzea Grande EC Uniao EC
Matches Played 32 26
Wins 8 10
Draws 6 8
Losses 18 8
Goals Scored 1.25 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.12
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 19, 2017 Matogrossense
Uniao EC vs Várzea Grande EC
3:0
Feb 12, 2017 Matogrossense
Várzea Grande EC vs Uniao EC
1:3
Apr 10, 2016 Matogrossense
Uniao EC vs Várzea Grande EC
3:2
Apr 3, 2016 Matogrossense
Várzea Grande EC vs Uniao EC
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Várzea Grande EC 31 / 100
Uniao EC 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Várzea Grande EC Uniao EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.25 goals per match.

Várzea Grande EC found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (32 games).

Uniao EC let in goals in 62% of their last 26 matches.

Recent resilience: Várzea Grande EC stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Várzea Grande EC VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Várzea Grande EC

(Home)
07 Oct
Chapada
3 : 0
Várzea Grande EC
27 Sept
Várzea Grande EC
2 : 5
Chapada
23 Sept
Uirapuru
1 : 4
Várzea Grande EC
20 Sept
Várzea Grande EC
1 : 3
Uniao Rondonopolis
13 Sept
Santa Cruz MT
1 : 2
Várzea Grande EC
Page 1 of 7

Uniao EC

(Away)
30 Mar
Cuiaba
1 : 1
Uniao EC
23 Mar
Uniao EC
0 : 3
Cuiaba
12 Mar
Uniao EC
2 : 1
Araguaia
23 Feb
Dom Bosco
0 : 0
Uniao EC
19 Feb
Uniao EC
3 : 0
Várzea Grande EC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Luverdense 6 4 2 0 13:2 14
2 Araguaia 6 2 2 2 7:8 8
3 Cacerense 6 2 1 3 5:10 7
4 Dom Bosco 6 1 1 4 6:11 4
Promotion - Campeonato Matogrossense 2016 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campeonato Matogrossense 2016 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sinop FC 6 5 0 1 9:3 15
2 Cuiaba 6 2 2 2 4:5 8
3 Uniao EC 6 2 1 3 7:8 7
4 Várzea Grande EC 6 1 1 4 7:11 4
Promotion - Campeonato Matogrossense 2016 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campeonato Matogrossense 2016 (Play Offs)