Sport Picks

Stadium Background

VSK Aarhus vs Fredensborg

Denmark Denmark

2nd Division - Group 1 2016/2017
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Hogh Jensen F.
51' Event
Jorgensen M.
61' Event
Hogh Jensen F.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

VSK Aarhus in this 2nd Division - Group 1 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored VSK Aarhus.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
VSK Aarhus
30%
Draws
31%
Fredensborg
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: VSK Aarhus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to VSK Aarhus lately — more wins on the board than Fredensborg.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
VSK Aarhus Clean Sheet 20%
Fredensborg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric VSK Aarhus Fredensborg
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 16 5
Draws 12 6
Losses 8 19
Goals Scored 1.44 0.7
Goals Conceded 0.92 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2017 2nd Division - Group 1
Fredensborg vs VSK Aarhus
2:2
Apr 1, 2017 2nd Division - Group 1
VSK Aarhus vs Fredensborg
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

VSK Aarhus Compare

Top Goalscorer Hogh Jensen F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jorgensen M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Fredensborg Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

VSK Aarhus 31 / 100
Fredensborg 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
VSK Aarhus Fredensborg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VSK Aarhus Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fredensborg let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Attacking prowess: VSK Aarhus scored in 67% of their last 36 outings.

Recent resilience: VSK Aarhus stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

VSK Aarhus VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

VSK Aarhus

(Home)
02 Oct
VSK Aarhus
0 : 2
Brabrand
26 Sept
VSK Aarhus
1 : 0
Skive
19 Sept
Middelfart
1 : 1
VSK Aarhus
13 Sept
VSK Aarhus
2 : 2
Boldklubben 1893
09 Sept
VSK Aarhus
0 : 2
Lyngby
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Fredensborg

(Away)
05 Aug
Fredensborg
1 : 3
Hellerup
05 Sept
Fredensborg
1 : 2
Hellerup
08 Aug
Ringsted
0 : 1
Fredensborg
17 Jun
Naesby
2 : 1
Fredensborg
10 Jun
Fredensborg
2 : 2
FC Sydvest 05
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