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VSK Aarhus vs Marienlyst

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Club Friendly 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Humlegaard F.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2023 game between VSK Aarhus and Marienlyst finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Marienlyst.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
VSK Aarhus
30%
Draws
31%
Marienlyst
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: VSK Aarhus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • VSK Aarhus haven't matched Marienlyst's recent run of results.
  • VSK Aarhus are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
VSK Aarhus Clean Sheet 10%
Marienlyst Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric VSK Aarhus Marienlyst
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 12 13
Draws 12 1
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 1.42 1.68
Goals Conceded 0.9 2.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 26, 2026 Betano Pokalen
Marienlyst vs VSK Aarhus
1:3
Feb 17, 2024 Club Friendly
VSK Aarhus vs Marienlyst
0:0
Feb 18, 2023 Club Friendly
VSK Aarhus vs Marienlyst
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

VSK Aarhus Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Marienlyst Compare

Top Goalscorer Humlegaard F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

VSK Aarhus 38 / 100
Marienlyst 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
VSK Aarhus Marienlyst

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VSK Aarhus Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

VSK Aarhus found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (31 games).

Marienlyst has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 1.67 goals as a typical output.

VSK Aarhus went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

VSK Aarhus VS Marienlyst
1.63 Goals Scored 3
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

VSK Aarhus

(Home)
26 Sept
VSK Aarhus
1 : 0
Skive
19 Sept
Middelfart
1 : 1
VSK Aarhus
13 Sept
VSK Aarhus
2 : 2
Boldklubben 1893
09 Sept
VSK Aarhus
0 : 2
Lyngby
05 Sept
Roskilde
1 : 0
VSK Aarhus
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Marienlyst

(Away)
26 Aug
Marienlyst
1 : 3
VSK Aarhus
05 Aug
Hedensted
0 : 5
Marienlyst
28 Feb
Naesby
2 : 2
Marienlyst
06 Aug
Marienlyst
1 : 2
Esbjerg
22 Feb
Naesby
5 : 3
Marienlyst
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