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VTM FC vs Security Systems - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Botswana Botswana

Premier League 2024/2025 VTDM Stadium, Metsimotlhaba
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Match Events

69' Event
Nthoiwa
87' Event
Ramotswaedi K.
90' Event
Mmolawa

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2024/2025 game between VTM FC and Security Systems finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward VTM FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
VTM FC
30%
Draws
23%
Security Systems
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: VTM FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Security Systems haven't matched VTM FC's recent run of results.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on VTM FC taking it.
  • Regular Premier League 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
VTM FC Clean Sheet 68%
Security Systems Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric VTM FC Security Systems
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 6
Draws 11 8
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.24 1
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2025 Premier League
VTM FC vs Security Systems
3:0
Nov 23, 2024 Premier League
Security Systems vs VTM FC
1:1
Mar 30, 2024 Premier League
Security Systems vs VTM FC
1:2
Oct 18, 2023 Premier League
VTM FC vs Security Systems
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

VTM FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Nthoiwa
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ramotswaedi K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Security Systems Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

VTM FC 59 / 100
Security Systems 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
VTM FC Security Systems

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VTM FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

VTM FC scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Security Systems has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

VTM FC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

VTM FC VS Security Systems
1.63 Goals Scored 0.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

VTM FC

(Home)
24 May
Jwaneng Galaxy
0 : 0
VTM FC
17 May
VTM FC
2 : 0
Matebele
14 May
Nico United
0 : 0
VTM FC
03 May
VTM FC
2 : 0
Extension Gunners
16 Apr
Morupule
2 : 1
VTM FC
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Security Systems

(Away)
24 May
Flamingo Santos
3 : 3
Security Systems
17 May
Security Systems
7 : 1
Chadibe
14 May
Centre Chiefs
3 : 2
Security Systems
04 May
Security Systems
0 : 2
Sua Flamingoes
16 Apr
Tafic FC
3 : 1
Security Systems
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gaborone Utd 30 20 6 4 56:23 66
2 Tafic FC 30 17 9 4 51:23 60
3 Sua Flamingoes 30 17 8 5 63:31 59
4 Jwaneng Galaxy 30 15 14 1 43:20 59
5 Centre Chiefs 30 15 11 4 46:20 56
6 Township Rollers 30 15 9 6 37:28 54
7 Morupule 30 12 6 12 41:36 42
8 Orapa United 30 9 13 8 36:31 40
9 VTM FC 30 8 11 11 36:33 35
10 Nico United 30 7 11 12 18:32 32
11 BDF XI 30 7 10 13 28:33 31
12 Matebele 30 8 6 16 30:45 30
13 Extension Gunners 30 8 5 17 25:48 29
14 Security Systems 30 6 8 16 30:45 26
15 Chadibe 30 2 10 18 19:62 16
16 Flamingo Santos 30 2 7 21 18:67 13
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2025/2026 (Qualification)