Sport Picks

Croatia

HNL 2025/2026 Stadion Gradski vrt

Vukovar 1991

1 - 1

Lok. Zagreb

Our Tip

Match Events

33'

Sabra I.

45'

Sub

Boskovic B. In: Vukovic D.

Out: Boskovic B.

45'

Vesovic M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The HNL 2025/2026 game between Vukovar 1991 and Lok. Zagreb finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Vukovar 1991

Draws

90%

Lok. Zagreb

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Lok. Zagreb

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Lok. Zagreb come out ahead of Vukovar 1991 on wins alone.
90% — that's where the model lands on Lok. Zagreb taking it.
Regular HNL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 14.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 7%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%

Vukovar 1991 Clean Sheet 13%

Lok. Zagreb Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Vukovar 1991	Lok. Zagreb
Matches Played	30	28
Wins	7	12
Draws	8	9
Losses	15	7
Goals Scored	1.29	1
Goals Conceded	2.29	1
Expected Goals (xG)	1.29	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.29	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2026 HNL

Vukovar 1991 vs Lok. Zagreb

Possession: 46% - 49% Cards: 4 - 1

1:1

Jan 24, 2026 HNL

Lok. Zagreb vs Vukovar 1991

Possession: 56% - 57% Cards: 3 - 1

2:1

Oct 17, 2025 HNL

Vukovar 1991 vs Lok. Zagreb

Possession: 50% - 41% Cards: 2 - 1

1:1

Aug 1, 2025 HNL

Lok. Zagreb vs Vukovar 1991

Possession: 58% - 53% Cards: 1 - 1

1:0

Nov 29, 2023 Croatian Cup

Vukovar 1991 vs Lok. Zagreb

Possession: 57% - 58% Cards: 4 - 1

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vukovar 1991 Compare

Top Goalscorer Caic V.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.99

Avg xA / game 0.65

Lok. Zagreb Compare

Top Goalscorer Belcar L.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vukovar 1991 10 / 100

Lok. Zagreb 84 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Vukovar 1991 Lok. Zagreb

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LOK Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vukovar 1991's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Lok. Zagreb has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Vukovar 1991 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Vukovar 1991 VS Lok. Zagreb

1.29 Goals Scored 1

2.29 Goals Conceded 1

86% Over 1.5 75%

71% Over 2.5 50%

29% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Din. Zagreb	36	27	5	4	93:28	86
2	Hajduk Split	36	20	8	8	61:36	68
3	Varazdin	36	15	9	12	47:46	54
4	Rijeka	36	14	11	11	49:36	53
5	Lok. Zagreb	36	10	14	12	40:52	44
6	Istra 1961	36	12	7	17	39:50	43
7	Slaven Belupo	36	10	11	15	46:61	41
8	HNK Gorica	36	11	8	17	40:48	41
9	Osijek	36	8	11	17	27:49	35
10	Vukovar 1991	36	6	10	20	37:73	28