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Vukovar 1991 vs Zadar Prediction & H2H Stats

Croatia Croatia

Croatian Cup 2018/2019
Tue, Sep 25, 2018
3 - 5
01:30 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Blazevic V.
15' Event
Juric K.
19' Event
Blazevic V.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-5, with Zadar advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Vukovar 1991
15%
Draws
42%
Zadar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vukovar 1991

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Zadar come out ahead of Vukovar 1991 on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Vukovar 1991 taking it.
  • Zadar arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Zadar, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Zadar have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Vukovar 1991 Clean Sheet 16%
Zadar Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vukovar 1991 Zadar
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 11
Draws 6 5
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 1.27 1.33
Goals Conceded 2.23 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2018 Croatian Cup
Vukovar 1991 vs Zadar
3:5
May 20, 2007 Prva NL
Zadar vs Vukovar 1991
2:1
Nov 25, 2006 Prva NL
Vukovar 1991 vs Zadar
0:1
Mar 10, 2001 Prva NL
Vukovar 1991 vs Zadar
3:0
Sep 2, 2000 Prva NL
Zadar vs Vukovar 1991
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vukovar 1991 Compare

Top Goalscorer Drahotuski Z.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Brajkovic D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Zadar Compare

Top Goalscorer Blazevic V.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Juric K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vukovar 1991 36 / 100
Zadar 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vukovar 1991 Zadar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Zadar conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Vukovar 1991's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Away concern: Zadar has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vukovar 1991 VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vukovar 1991

(Home)
04 Oct
Vukovar 1991
0 : 4
Din. Zagreb
27 Sept
Opatija
1 : 0
Vukovar 1991
19 Sept
Vukovar 1991
2 : 3
Jadran Luka Ploce
13 Sept
Croatia Zmijavci
2 : 3
Vukovar 1991
09 Sept
Vukovar 1991
1 : 0
Cibalia
Page 1 of 6

Zadar

(Away)
07 Oct
GOSK Dubrovnik
3 : 0
Zadar
23 Oct
Zadar
0 : 3
Osijek
25 Sept
Zagora
1 : 2
Zadar
25 May
Medjimurje
4 : 1
Zadar
18 May
Zadar
5 : 1
Solin
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Din. Zagreb -
TBD -
NK Koprivnica 1
Sloga Mravince 3
GOSK Dubrovnik -
TBD -
TBD -
NK Zelina -
Marsonia 2
Karlovac 1
TBD -
NK Zagreb -
Kurilovec 3
Suhopolje 2
TBD -
Slaven Belupo -
Hajduk Split -
TBD -
Visnjevac 1
Vrapce 2
Nehaj Senj 4
Granicar Zupanja 1
TBD -
Sibenik -
Krk 3
Rudar Labin 0
TBD -
Cibalia -
Zagorec Krapina 9
NK Libertas Novska 0
TBD -
Osijek -
Zapresic -
TBD -
Pitomaca 0
Bednja Beletinec 2
Sloga Nova Gradiska 4
NK Nedelisce 2
TBD -
Istra 1961 -
Jadran Luka Ploce 1
Bjelovar 0
TBD -
RNK Split -
Slavija Pleternica 1
Segesta 0
TBD -
Jaska Vinogradar -
Lok. Zagreb -
TBD -
Zagora 1
Primorac Biograd 3
Vukovar 1991 1
Bijelo Brdo 0
TBD -
Zadar -
Varazdin 3
Dragovoljac 0
Sava Strmec 0
Medjimurje 5
Radnik Krizevci 2
Rovinj 0
TBD -
Rijeka -
1/16-finals
Din. Zagreb 1
Sloga Mravince 0
GOSK Dubrovnik 0
NK Zelina 2
Marsonia 3
NK Zagreb 0
Kurilovec 0
Slaven Belupo 2
Hajduk Split 2
Vrapce 0
Nehaj Senj 2
Sibenik 3
Krk 1
Cibalia 0
Zagorec Krapina 0
Osijek 3
Zapresic 3
Bednja Beletinec 0
Sloga Nova Gradiska 2
Istra 1961 4
Jadran Luka Ploce 3
RNK Split 1
Slavija Pleternica 0
Jaska Vinogradar 4
Lok. Zagreb 1
Primorac Biograd 0
Vukovar 1991 3
Zadar 5
Varazdin 2
Medjimurje 0
Radnik Krizevci 0
Rijeka 9
1/8-finals
Din. Zagreb 4
NK Zelina 0
Marsonia 0
Slaven Belupo 1
Hajduk Split 2
Sibenik 1
Krk 1
Osijek 5
Zapresic 2
Istra 1961 1
Jadran Luka Ploce 2
Jaska Vinogradar 4
Lok. Zagreb 3
Zadar 1
Varazdin 1
Rijeka 2
Quarter-finals
Din. Zagreb 1
Slaven Belupo 0
Hajduk Split 1
Osijek 2
Zapresic 3
Jaska Vinogradar 0
Lok. Zagreb 1
Rijeka 2
Semi-finals
Din. Zagreb 2
Osijek 0
Zapresic 1
Rijeka 2
Final
Din. Zagreb 1
Rijeka 3