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Vulcanico vs AJAC da Calheta

Cape Verde Cape Verde

Campeonato Nacional 2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Nacional 2017 game between Vulcanico and AJAC da Calheta finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AJAC da Calheta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Vulcanico
30%
Draws
29%
AJAC da Calheta
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vulcanico

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Vulcanico carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Vulcanico a 41% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato Nacional 2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Vulcanico Clean Sheet 20%
AJAC da Calheta Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vulcanico AJAC da Calheta
Matches Played 26 6
Wins 7 1
Draws 5 2
Losses 14 3
Goals Scored 0.73 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 3, 2017 Campeonato Nacional
Vulcanico vs AJAC da Calheta
1:2
May 31, 2017 Campeonato Nacional
AJAC da Calheta vs Vulcanico
2:3
May 13, 2017 Campeonato Nacional
AJAC da Calheta vs Vulcanico
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vulcanico 58 / 100
AJAC da Calheta 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vulcanico AJAC da Calheta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vulcanico Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: AJAC da Calheta conceded in 100% of 6 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.67 goals per match.

Vulcanico has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Vulcanico scored in 50% of their last 26 games.

Scoring Trends

Vulcanico VS AJAC da Calheta
1 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.57
63% Over 1.5 86%
38% Over 2.5 43%
25% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Vulcanico

(Home)
12 May
Vulcanico
1 : 1
Barreirense
05 May
Palmeira
1 : 0
Vulcanico
28 Apr
Sporting Praia
1 : 0
Vulcanico
22 Apr
Vulcanico
2 : 1
Sporting Praia
14 Apr
Barreirense
0 : 1
Vulcanico
Page 1 of 6

AJAC da Calheta

(Away)
17 Jun
AJAC da Calheta
2 : 2
Onze Unidos
10 Jun
AJAC da Calheta
0 : 2
Ultramarina
03 Jun
Vulcanico
1 : 2
AJAC da Calheta
31 May
AJAC da Calheta
2 : 3
Vulcanico
27 May
Onze Unidos
1 : 1
AJAC da Calheta
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ultramarina 6 4 1 1 11:6 13
2 Onze Unidos 6 3 2 1 9:6 11
3 AJAC da Calheta 6 1 2 3 7:11 5
4 Vulcanico 6 1 1 4 7:11 4
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2017 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mindelense 6 4 1 1 8:3 13
2 Academica Porto Novo 6 3 2 1 12:7 11
3 Academico do Sal 6 1 2 3 6:10 5
4 Paulense 6 0 3 3 4:10 3
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2017 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting Praia 6 4 2 0 8:1 14
2 Academica do Mindelo 6 3 1 2 7:5 10
3 Sporting da Brava 6 3 1 2 6:5 10
4 Sport Sal-Rei 6 0 0 6 1:11 0
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2017 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams