Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Derde Divisie 2025/2026 game between VV DOVO and Sparta Nijkerk finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward VV DOVO.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
30%
34%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: VV DOVO
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
66%
/ Medium Confidence
- VV DOVO haven't matched Sparta Nijkerk's recent run of results.
- 36% — that's where the model lands on VV DOVO taking it.
- Regular Derde Divisie 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
VV DOVO Clean Sheet 10%
Sparta Nijkerk Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | VV DOVO | Sparta Nijkerk |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 32 |
| Wins | 14 | 16 |
| Draws | 7 | 4 |
| Losses | 10 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 2.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 2.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.63 | 1.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 18, 2026 Derde Divisie
VV DOVO vs Sparta Nijkerk
2:1
Nov 15, 2025 Derde Divisie
Sparta Nijkerk vs VV DOVO
1:1
Feb 22, 2025 Derde Divisie
VV DOVO vs Sparta Nijkerk
1:1
Sep 28, 2024 Derde Divisie
Sparta Nijkerk vs VV DOVO
1:1
Feb 3, 2024 Derde Divisie
VV DOVO vs Sparta Nijkerk
4:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
VV DOVO 34 / 100
Sparta Nijkerk 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
VV DOVO Sparta Nijkerk
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: VV DOVO scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.
Sparta Nijkerk's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 32 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: VV DOVO stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
VV DOVO VS Sparta Nijkerk
1 Goals Scored 2.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
VV DOVO
(Home) 23 May
VV DOVO
1 : 0 ADO 20 Heemskerk
16 May
Genemuiden
2 : 6 VV DOVO
09 May
VV DOVO
1 : 4 Huizen
25 Apr
Eemdijk
2 : 1 VV DOVO
18 Apr
VV DOVO
2 : 1 Sparta Nijkerk
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23 May
VV DOVO
1 : 0 ADO 20 Heemskerk
09 May
VV DOVO
1 : 4 Huizen
18 Apr
VV DOVO
2 : 1 Sparta Nijkerk
28 Mar
VV DOVO
1 : 2 VV Hoogeveen
24 Mar
VV DOVO
2 : 0 USV Hercules
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Sparta Nijkerk
(Away) 30 May
IJsselmeervogels
2 : 1 Sparta Nijkerk
27 May
Sparta Nijkerk
0 : 3 IJsselmeervogels
23 May
Sparta Nijkerk
3 : 1 Eemdijk
16 May
Sportlust
0 : 2 Sparta Nijkerk
09 May
DVS '33 Ermelo
2 : 2 Sparta Nijkerk
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30 May
IJsselmeervogels
2 : 1 Sparta Nijkerk
16 May
Sportlust
0 : 2 Sparta Nijkerk
09 May
DVS '33 Ermelo
2 : 2 Sparta Nijkerk
18 Apr
VV DOVO
2 : 1 Sparta Nijkerk
28 Mar
Urk
4 : 5 Sparta Nijkerk
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rohda Raalte | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 63:36 | 67 |
| 2 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 59:39 | 62 |
| 3 | Sparta Nijkerk | 34 | 19 | 4 | 11 | 84:43 | 61 |
| 4 | ADO 20 Heemskerk | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 46:36 | 60 |
| 5 | Genemuiden | 34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 61:52 | 56 |
| 6 | Staphorst | 34 | 17 | 3 | 14 | 63:53 | 54 |
| 7 | Harkemase Boys | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 56:44 | 52 |
| 8 | VV DOVO | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 53:43 | 52 |
| 9 | Eemdijk | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 68:59 | 50 |
| 10 | VV Scherpenzeel | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 59:49 | 49 |
| 11 | VV Hoogeveen | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 54:64 | 48 |
| 12 | Sportlust | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 54:52 | 47 |
| 13 | USV Hercules | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 53:57 | 44 |
| 14 | Excelsior 31 | 34 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 49:57 | 40 |
| 15 | Huizen | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 51:63 | 40 |
| 16 | TEC | 34 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 48:64 | 40 |
| 17 | Urk | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 61:97 | 31 |
| 18 | HSC '21 | 34 | 1 | 5 | 28 | 35:109 | 8 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VV Kloetinge | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 68:43 | 73 |
| 2 | Lisse | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 67:33 | 68 |
| 3 | VVSB | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 70:37 | 68 |
| 4 | Rijnvogels | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 63:39 | 64 |
| 5 | Gemert | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 71:46 | 61 |
| 6 | Roosendaal | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 71:58 | 54 |
| 7 | TOGB | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 64:61 | 53 |
| 8 | VV Zwaluwen | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 61:48 | 51 |
| 9 | Blauw Geel | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 53:51 | 48 |
| 10 | VV Noordwijk | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 56:51 | 44 |
| 11 | RKSV UDI 19 | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 57:74 | 39 |
| 12 | UNA | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 51:59 | 38 |
| 13 | GOES | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 43:61 | 37 |
| 14 | Groene Ster | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 45:64 | 36 |
| 15 | SteDoCo | 34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 35:69 | 34 |
| 16 | SVV Scheveningen | 34 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 49:65 | 32 |
| 17 | Meerssen | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 47:70 | 31 |
| 18 | ASWH | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 45:87 | 25 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)