Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Derde Divisie 2025/2026 game between VV DOVO and Urk finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward VV DOVO.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Urk
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- VV DOVO carry the better recent record into this one.
- 85% — that's where the model lands on Urk taking it.
- Regular Derde Divisie 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 41.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
VV DOVO Clean Sheet 14%
Urk Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | VV DOVO | Urk |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 7 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.67 | 2.87 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.02 | 1.57 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 7, 2026 Derde Divisie
VV DOVO vs Urk
3:2
Oct 4, 2025 Derde Divisie
Urk vs VV DOVO
3:3
Feb 15, 2025 Derde Divisie
VV DOVO vs Urk
0:2
Sep 21, 2024 Derde Divisie
Urk vs VV DOVO
0:2
May 25, 2024 Derde Divisie
Urk vs VV DOVO
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
VV DOVO 10 / 100
Urk 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
VV DOVO Urk
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Urk Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: VV DOVO scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.
Defensive concern: Urk conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.
H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.
Urk's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
VV DOVO VS Urk
2.25 Goals Scored 1.4
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.8
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 80%
63% Over 3.5 20%
Recent Form & Match History
VV DOVO
(Home) 03 Oct
VV DOVO
1 : 3 ADO 20 Heemskerk
26 Sept
Excelsior 31
3 : 0 VV DOVO
22 Sept
Koninklijke HFC
3 : 1 VV DOVO
19 Sept
Sportlust
2 : 0 VV DOVO
12 Sept
VV DOVO
1 : 4 VV Hoogeveen
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03 Oct
VV DOVO
1 : 3 ADO 20 Heemskerk
12 Sept
VV DOVO
1 : 4 VV Hoogeveen
29 Aug
VV DOVO
2 : 3 VV Scherpenzeel
15 Aug
VV DOVO
2 : 2 Staphorst
23 May
VV DOVO
1 : 0 ADO 20 Heemskerk
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Urk
(Away) 23 May
Urk
1 : 2 Excelsior 31
16 May
HSC '21
1 : 1 Urk
09 May
Urk
2 : 1 ADO 20 Heemskerk
02 May
Harkemase Boys
2 : 3 Urk
25 Apr
Genemuiden
3 : 0 Urk
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16 May
HSC '21
1 : 1 Urk
02 May
Harkemase Boys
2 : 3 Urk
25 Apr
Genemuiden
3 : 0 Urk
11 Apr
Eemdijk
5 : 3 Urk
21 Mar
DVS '33 Ermelo
2 : 2 Urk
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rohda Raalte | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 63:36 | 67 |
| 2 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 59:39 | 62 |
| 3 | Sparta Nijkerk | 34 | 19 | 4 | 11 | 84:43 | 61 |
| 4 | ADO 20 Heemskerk | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 46:36 | 60 |
| 5 | Genemuiden | 34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 61:52 | 56 |
| 6 | Staphorst | 34 | 17 | 3 | 14 | 63:53 | 54 |
| 7 | Harkemase Boys | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 56:44 | 52 |
| 8 | VV DOVO | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 53:43 | 52 |
| 9 | Eemdijk | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 68:59 | 50 |
| 10 | VV Scherpenzeel | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 59:49 | 49 |
| 11 | VV Hoogeveen | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 54:64 | 48 |
| 12 | Sportlust | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 54:52 | 47 |
| 13 | USV Hercules | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 53:57 | 44 |
| 14 | Excelsior 31 | 34 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 49:57 | 40 |
| 15 | Huizen | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 51:63 | 40 |
| 16 | TEC | 34 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 48:64 | 40 |
| 17 | Urk | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 61:97 | 31 |
| 18 | HSC '21 | 34 | 1 | 5 | 28 | 35:109 | 8 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VV Kloetinge | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 68:43 | 73 |
| 2 | Lisse | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 67:33 | 68 |
| 3 | VVSB | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 70:37 | 68 |
| 4 | Rijnvogels | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 63:39 | 64 |
| 5 | Gemert | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 71:46 | 61 |
| 6 | Roosendaal | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 71:58 | 54 |
| 7 | TOGB | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 64:61 | 53 |
| 8 | VV Zwaluwen | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 61:48 | 51 |
| 9 | Blauw Geel | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 53:51 | 48 |
| 10 | VV Noordwijk | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 56:51 | 44 |
| 11 | RKSV UDI 19 | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 57:74 | 39 |
| 12 | UNA | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 51:59 | 38 |
| 13 | GOES | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 43:61 | 37 |
| 14 | Groene Ster | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 45:64 | 36 |
| 15 | SteDoCo | 34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 35:69 | 34 |
| 16 | SVV Scheveningen | 34 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 49:65 | 32 |
| 17 | Meerssen | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 47:70 | 31 |
| 18 | ASWH | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 45:87 | 25 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
