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VV Heerjansdam vs Dongen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dongen in this Derde Divisie 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
VV Heerjansdam
30%
Draws
31%
Dongen
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: VV Heerjansdam

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • VV Heerjansdam haven't matched Dongen's recent run of results.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on VV Heerjansdam taking it.
  • Dongen arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Dongen, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 82.6%
VV Heerjansdam Clean Sheet 10%
Dongen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric VV Heerjansdam Dongen
Matches Played 7 29
Wins 2 10
Draws 2 5
Losses 3 14
Goals Scored 2 1.72
Goals Conceded 2.14 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.01
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2026 Derde Divisie
VV Heerjansdam vs Dongen
1:2
Jun 3, 2026 Derde Divisie
Dongen vs VV Heerjansdam
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

VV Heerjansdam 56 / 100
Dongen 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
VV Heerjansdam Dongen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VV Heerjansdam Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

VV Heerjansdam found the back of the net in 100% of recent matches (7 games).

Dongen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

VV Heerjansdam went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

VV Heerjansdam VS Dongen
2 Goals Scored 1.88
2.14 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
86% Over 2.5 63%
43% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

VV Heerjansdam

(Home)
02 Sept
Groene Ster
2 : 1
VV Heerjansdam
06 Jun
VV Heerjansdam
1 : 2
Dongen
03 Jun
Dongen
1 : 1
VV Heerjansdam
30 May
VV Heerjansdam
5 : 2
Valkenswaard
27 May
Valkenswaard
3 : 3
VV Heerjansdam
Page 1 of 2

Dongen

(Away)
03 Oct
Dongen
4 : 0
SV Poortugaal
27 Sept
UNA
2 : 2
Dongen
20 Sept
Blauw Geel
3 : 1
Dongen
13 Sept
Dongen
2 : 3
GOES
05 Sept
Rijnvogels
5 : 2
Dongen
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
HVV Hollandia 5
Huizen 3
HBC 4
Flevo Boys 2
Heino 0
TEC 2
NEO 6
Watergraafsmeer 2
HV & CV Quick 4
EVV 5
FC 's-Gravenzande 2
SteDoCo 4
Valkenswaard 5
VV Heerjansdam 8
Dongen 2
SVV Scheveningen 1
Final
HVV Hollandia 3
HBC 0
TEC 3
NEO 1
EVV 2
SteDoCo 1
VV Heerjansdam 2
Dongen 3