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VV Hoogeveen vs Eemdijk Prediction & H2H Stats

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Derde Divisie 2025/2026 game between VV Hoogeveen and Eemdijk finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward VV Hoogeveen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
VV Hoogeveen
15%
Draws
21%
Eemdijk
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: VV Hoogeveen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • VV Hoogeveen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans VV Hoogeveen's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Derde Divisie 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 90%).
  • History favors VV Hoogeveen here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 90%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
VV Hoogeveen Clean Sheet 11%
Eemdijk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric VV Hoogeveen Eemdijk
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 12
Draws 4 4
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.93 1.86
Goals Conceded 2.07 2.21
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Derde Divisie
VV Hoogeveen vs Eemdijk
1:0
Nov 29, 2025 Derde Divisie
Eemdijk vs VV Hoogeveen
1:1
Mar 2, 2024 Derde Divisie
VV Hoogeveen vs Eemdijk
1:0
Sep 30, 2023 Derde Divisie
Eemdijk vs VV Hoogeveen
3:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

VV Hoogeveen 83 / 100
Eemdijk 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
VV Hoogeveen Eemdijk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VV Hoogeveen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

VV Hoogeveen found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Eemdijk has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.

VV Hoogeveen went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

VV Hoogeveen VS Eemdijk
2.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

VV Hoogeveen

(Home)
03 Oct
VV Hoogeveen
5 : 3
Genemuiden
27 Sept
ADO 20 Heemskerk
1 : 5
VV Hoogeveen
22 Sept
ACV Assen
2 : 1
VV Hoogeveen
19 Sept
VV Hoogeveen
0 : 2
Excelsior 31
12 Sept
VV DOVO
1 : 4
VV Hoogeveen
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Eemdijk

(Away)
26 Sept
TEC
7 : 2
Eemdijk
22 Sept
Eemdijk
2 : 1
Roosendaal
19 Sept
Eemdijk
0 : 4
Sparta Nijkerk
12 Sept
ACV Assen
5 : 1
Eemdijk
05 Sept
Eemdijk
1 : 2
Harkemase Boys
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rohda Raalte 34 20 7 7 63:36 67
2 DVS '33 Ermelo 34 17 11 6 59:39 62
3 Sparta Nijkerk 34 19 4 11 84:43 61
4 ADO 20 Heemskerk 34 17 9 8 46:36 60
5 Genemuiden 34 17 5 12 61:52 56
6 Staphorst 34 17 3 14 63:53 54
7 Harkemase Boys 34 14 10 10 56:44 52
8 VV DOVO 34 15 7 12 53:43 52
9 Eemdijk 34 14 8 12 68:59 50
10 VV Scherpenzeel 34 14 7 13 59:49 49
11 VV Hoogeveen 34 14 6 14 54:64 48
12 Sportlust 34 14 5 15 54:52 47
13 USV Hercules 34 13 5 16 53:57 44
14 Excelsior 31 34 12 4 18 49:57 40
15 Huizen 34 11 7 16 51:63 40
16 TEC 34 12 4 18 48:64 40
17 Urk 34 8 7 19 61:97 31
18 HSC '21 34 1 5 28 35:109 8
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 VV Kloetinge 34 22 7 5 68:43 73
2 Lisse 34 20 8 6 67:33 68
3 VVSB 34 21 5 8 70:37 68
4 Rijnvogels 34 19 7 8 63:39 64
5 Gemert 34 17 10 7 71:46 61
6 Roosendaal 34 15 9 10 71:58 54
7 TOGB 34 15 8 11 64:61 53
8 VV Zwaluwen 34 15 6 13 61:48 51
9 Blauw Geel 34 14 6 14 53:51 48
10 VV Noordwijk 34 12 8 14 56:51 44
11 RKSV UDI 19 34 11 6 17 57:74 39
12 UNA 34 10 8 16 51:59 38
13 GOES 34 10 7 17 43:61 37
14 Groene Ster 34 10 6 18 45:64 36
15 SteDoCo 34 10 4 20 35:69 34
16 SVV Scheveningen 34 9 5 20 49:65 32
17 Meerssen 34 8 7 19 47:70 31
18 ASWH 34 6 7 21 45:87 25
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)