Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Excelsior 31 in this Derde Divisie matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Excelsior 31.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
15%
50%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Excelsior 31
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- VV Hoogeveen average 2.03 goals a game right now, well clear of Excelsior 31's 2.
- Win probability leans VV Hoogeveen's way, sitting at 36%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Excelsior 31 have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
VV Hoogeveen Clean Sheet 10%
Excelsior 31 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | VV Hoogeveen | Excelsior 31 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 15 |
| Draws | 4 | 5 |
| Losses | 11 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 2.03 | 2 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.07 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 19, 2026 Derde Divisie
VV Hoogeveen vs Excelsior 31
0:2
Jan 24, 2026 Derde Divisie
Excelsior 31 vs VV Hoogeveen
3:3
Aug 30, 2025 Derde Divisie
VV Hoogeveen vs Excelsior 31
0:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
VV Hoogeveen 34 / 100
Excelsior 31 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
VV Hoogeveen Excelsior 31
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
VV Hoogeveen scored in 83% of their last 30 games.
Excelsior 31 let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
VV Hoogeveen has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
VV Hoogeveen VS Excelsior 31
2.13 Goals Scored 2.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
VV Hoogeveen
(Home) 03 Oct
VV Hoogeveen
5 : 3 Genemuiden
27 Sept
ADO 20 Heemskerk
1 : 5 VV Hoogeveen
22 Sept
ACV Assen
2 : 1 VV Hoogeveen
19 Sept
VV Hoogeveen
0 : 2 Excelsior 31
12 Sept
VV DOVO
1 : 4 VV Hoogeveen
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
VV Hoogeveen
5 : 3 Genemuiden
19 Sept
VV Hoogeveen
0 : 2 Excelsior 31
02 Sept
VV Hoogeveen
3 : 2 SVZW Wierden
30 Aug
VV Hoogeveen
1 : 3 Purmersteijn
15 Aug
VV Hoogeveen
4 : 3 SVZW Wierden
Page 1 of 3
Excelsior 31
(Away) 03 Oct
Sportlust
0 : 3 Excelsior 31
26 Sept
Excelsior 31
3 : 0 VV DOVO
22 Sept
Excelsior 31
4 : 3 Alkmaarse FC 1934
19 Sept
VV Hoogeveen
0 : 2 Excelsior 31
12 Sept
Excelsior 31
1 : 1 Purmersteijn
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Sportlust
0 : 3 Excelsior 31
19 Sept
VV Hoogeveen
0 : 2 Excelsior 31
05 Sept
VV Scherpenzeel
3 : 1 Excelsior 31
01 Sept
Harkemase Boys
0 : 1 Excelsior 31
22 Aug
Staphorst
2 : 4 Excelsior 31
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Excelsior 31 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 22:6 | 19 |
| 2 | ACV Assen | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 21:8 | 19 |
| 3 | VV Scherpenzeel | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 15:9 | 19 |
| 4 | Genemuiden | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 19:9 | 18 |
| 5 | Harkemase Boys | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15:11 | 17 |
| 6 | TEC | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 27:16 | 16 |
| 7 | Sportlust | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16:13 | 15 |
| 8 | Sparta Nijkerk | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 22:16 | 14 |
| 9 | Purmersteijn | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15:11 | 14 |
| 10 | VV Hoogeveen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 22:17 | 13 |
| 11 | ADO 20 Heemskerk | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15:18 | 10 |
| 12 | USV Hercules | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 12:20 | 9 |
| 13 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 10:15 | 5 |
| 14 | VV DOVO | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9:19 | 5 |
| 15 | Eemdijk | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9:26 | 3 |
| 16 | Staphorst | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10:18 | 3 |
| 17 | HVV Hollandia | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 13:23 | 1 |
| 18 | SVZW Wierden | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9:26 | 1 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rijnvogels | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 25:7 | 20 |
| 2 | VV Noordwijk | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 15:2 | 19 |
| 3 | Lisse | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 14:6 | 19 |
| 4 | Excelsior Maassluis | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16:7 | 17 |
| 5 | RKSV UDI 19 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14:9 | 14 |
| 6 | GOES | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16:17 | 14 |
| 7 | Dongen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 21:17 | 13 |
| 8 | VV Zwaluwen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7:10 | 13 |
| 9 | Gemert | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 10 | Blauw Geel | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 11 | Roosendaal | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 13:16 | 9 |
| 12 | SV Poortugaal | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8:13 | 9 |
| 13 | UNA | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 12:13 | 8 |
| 14 | TOGB | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13:18 | 8 |
| 15 | VVSB | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:16 | 7 |
| 16 | Groene Ster | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 12:20 | 6 |
| 17 | Achilles Veen | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7:20 | 3 |
| 18 | EVV | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8:19 | 2 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)
