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VV Scherpenzeel vs DVS '33 Ermelo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

DVS '33 Ermelo in this Derde Divisie 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored DVS '33 Ermelo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
VV Scherpenzeel
20%
Draws
19%
DVS '33 Ermelo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: VV Scherpenzeel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • DVS '33 Ermelo haven't matched VV Scherpenzeel's recent run of results.
  • 61% — that's where the model lands on VV Scherpenzeel taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
VV Scherpenzeel Clean Sheet 17%
DVS '33 Ermelo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric VV Scherpenzeel DVS '33 Ermelo
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 10
Draws 6 8
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.86 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Derde Divisie
VV Scherpenzeel vs DVS '33 Ermelo
0:3
Oct 25, 2025 Derde Divisie
DVS '33 Ermelo vs VV Scherpenzeel
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

VV Scherpenzeel 84 / 100
DVS '33 Ermelo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
VV Scherpenzeel DVS '33 Ermelo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VV Scherpenzeel Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: DVS '33 Ermelo conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

VV Scherpenzeel went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

VV Scherpenzeel's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Scoring Trends

VV Scherpenzeel VS DVS '33 Ermelo
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

VV Scherpenzeel

(Home)
03 Oct
VV Scherpenzeel
4 : 2
ACV Assen
26 Sept
Harkemase Boys
0 : 0
VV Scherpenzeel
19 Sept
VV Scherpenzeel
1 : 0
Genemuiden
13 Sept
ADO 20 Heemskerk
0 : 1
VV Scherpenzeel
05 Sept
VV Scherpenzeel
3 : 1
Excelsior 31
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DVS '33 Ermelo

(Away)
03 Oct
USV Hercules
1 : 0
DVS '33 Ermelo
26 Sept
DVS '33 Ermelo
1 : 2
Sportlust
22 Sept
GVVV
4 : 0
DVS '33 Ermelo
19 Sept
DVS '33 Ermelo
2 : 1
HVV Hollandia
12 Sept
TEC
4 : 4
DVS '33 Ermelo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rohda Raalte 34 20 7 7 63:36 67
2 DVS '33 Ermelo 34 17 11 6 59:39 62
3 Sparta Nijkerk 34 19 4 11 84:43 61
4 ADO 20 Heemskerk 34 17 9 8 46:36 60
5 Genemuiden 34 17 5 12 61:52 56
6 Staphorst 34 17 3 14 63:53 54
7 Harkemase Boys 34 14 10 10 56:44 52
8 VV DOVO 34 15 7 12 53:43 52
9 Eemdijk 34 14 8 12 68:59 50
10 VV Scherpenzeel 34 14 7 13 59:49 49
11 VV Hoogeveen 34 14 6 14 54:64 48
12 Sportlust 34 14 5 15 54:52 47
13 USV Hercules 34 13 5 16 53:57 44
14 Excelsior 31 34 12 4 18 49:57 40
15 Huizen 34 11 7 16 51:63 40
16 TEC 34 12 4 18 48:64 40
17 Urk 34 8 7 19 61:97 31
18 HSC '21 34 1 5 28 35:109 8
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 VV Kloetinge 34 22 7 5 68:43 73
2 Lisse 34 20 8 6 67:33 68
3 VVSB 34 21 5 8 70:37 68
4 Rijnvogels 34 19 7 8 63:39 64
5 Gemert 34 17 10 7 71:46 61
6 Roosendaal 34 15 9 10 71:58 54
7 TOGB 34 15 8 11 64:61 53
8 VV Zwaluwen 34 15 6 13 61:48 51
9 Blauw Geel 34 14 6 14 53:51 48
10 VV Noordwijk 34 12 8 14 56:51 44
11 RKSV UDI 19 34 11 6 17 57:74 39
12 UNA 34 10 8 16 51:59 38
13 GOES 34 10 7 17 43:61 37
14 Groene Ster 34 10 6 18 45:64 36
15 SteDoCo 34 10 4 20 35:69 34
16 SVV Scheveningen 34 9 5 20 49:65 32
17 Meerssen 34 8 7 19 47:70 31
18 ASWH 34 6 7 21 45:87 25
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)