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VV Scherpenzeel vs Excelsior 31 Prediction & H2H Stats

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

VV Scherpenzeel in this Derde Divisie matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored VV Scherpenzeel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
VV Scherpenzeel
20%
Draws
40%
Excelsior 31
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Excelsior 31 lately — more wins on the board than VV Scherpenzeel.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Derde Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and VV Scherpenzeel have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
VV Scherpenzeel Clean Sheet 10%
Excelsior 31 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric VV Scherpenzeel Excelsior 31
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 15
Draws 6 5
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.86 2
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Derde Divisie
VV Scherpenzeel vs Excelsior 31
3:1
Feb 14, 2026 Derde Divisie
Excelsior 31 vs VV Scherpenzeel
0:1
Aug 16, 2025 Derde Divisie
VV Scherpenzeel vs Excelsior 31
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

VV Scherpenzeel 34 / 100
Excelsior 31 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
VV Scherpenzeel Excelsior 31

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Excelsior 31 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: VV Scherpenzeel remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

VV Scherpenzeel scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Excelsior 31's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.33 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

VV Scherpenzeel VS Excelsior 31
1.5 Goals Scored 2.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

VV Scherpenzeel

(Home)
03 Oct
VV Scherpenzeel
4 : 2
ACV Assen
26 Sept
Harkemase Boys
0 : 0
VV Scherpenzeel
19 Sept
VV Scherpenzeel
1 : 0
Genemuiden
13 Sept
ADO 20 Heemskerk
0 : 1
VV Scherpenzeel
05 Sept
VV Scherpenzeel
3 : 1
Excelsior 31
Page 1 of 6

Excelsior 31

(Away)
03 Oct
Sportlust
0 : 3
Excelsior 31
26 Sept
Excelsior 31
3 : 0
VV DOVO
22 Sept
Excelsior 31
4 : 3
Alkmaarse FC 1934
19 Sept
VV Hoogeveen
0 : 2
Excelsior 31
12 Sept
Excelsior 31
1 : 1
Purmersteijn
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Excelsior 31 8 6 1 1 22:6 19
2 ACV Assen 8 6 1 1 21:8 19
3 VV Scherpenzeel 8 6 1 1 15:9 19
4 Genemuiden 8 6 0 2 19:9 18
5 Harkemase Boys 8 5 2 1 15:11 17
6 TEC 8 5 1 2 27:16 16
7 Sportlust 8 4 3 1 16:13 15
8 Sparta Nijkerk 8 4 2 2 22:16 14
9 Purmersteijn 8 4 2 2 15:11 14
10 VV Hoogeveen 8 4 1 3 22:17 13
11 ADO 20 Heemskerk 8 3 1 4 15:18 10
12 USV Hercules 8 3 0 5 12:20 9
13 DVS '33 Ermelo 8 1 2 5 10:15 5
14 VV DOVO 8 1 2 5 9:19 5
15 Eemdijk 7 1 0 6 9:26 3
16 Staphorst 8 0 3 5 10:18 3
17 HVV Hollandia 7 0 1 6 13:23 1
18 SVZW Wierden 8 0 1 7 9:26 1
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rijnvogels 8 6 2 0 25:7 20
2 VV Noordwijk 8 6 1 1 15:2 19
3 Lisse 8 6 1 1 14:6 19
4 Excelsior Maassluis 8 5 2 1 16:7 17
5 RKSV UDI 19 8 4 2 2 14:9 14
6 GOES 8 4 2 2 16:17 14
7 Dongen 8 4 1 3 21:17 13
8 VV Zwaluwen 8 4 1 3 7:10 13
9 Gemert 8 2 4 2 12:13 10
10 Blauw Geel 8 2 3 3 11:11 9
11 Roosendaal 8 3 0 5 13:16 9
12 SV Poortugaal 8 3 0 5 8:13 9
13 UNA 8 1 5 2 12:13 8
14 TOGB 8 2 2 4 13:18 8
15 VVSB 8 2 1 5 10:16 7
16 Groene Ster 8 1 3 4 12:20 6
17 Achilles Veen 8 1 0 7 7:20 3
18 EVV 8 0 2 6 8:19 2
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)