Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Derde Divisie 2025/2026 game between VV Zwaluwen and Rijnvogels finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rijnvogels.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
15%
49%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rijnvogels
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
49%
/ Medium Confidence
- VV Zwaluwen carry the better recent record into this one.
- 49% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Derde Divisie 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
VV Zwaluwen Clean Sheet 10%
Rijnvogels Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | VV Zwaluwen | Rijnvogels |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 14 |
| Draws | 3 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.97 | 1.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.24 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 2.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 21, 2026 Derde Divisie
VV Zwaluwen vs Rijnvogels
1:2
Sep 20, 2025 Derde Divisie
Rijnvogels vs VV Zwaluwen
1:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
VV Zwaluwen 30 / 100
Rijnvogels 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
VV Zwaluwen Rijnvogels
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Rijnvogels Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
VV Zwaluwen's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Rijnvogels let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.
H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.
VV Zwaluwen has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
VV Zwaluwen VS Rijnvogels
1.38 Goals Scored 2.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 88%
Recent Form & Match History
VV Zwaluwen
(Home) 23 Sept
VV Zwaluwen
0 : 1 Purmersteijn
19 Sept
VV Zwaluwen
1 : 0 Lisse
12 Sept
Groene Ster
1 : 0 VV Zwaluwen
05 Sept
VV Zwaluwen
1 : 0 RKSV UDI 19
02 Sept
Lierop
0 : 7 VV Zwaluwen
Page 1 of 6
23 Sept
VV Zwaluwen
0 : 1 Purmersteijn
19 Sept
VV Zwaluwen
1 : 0 Lisse
05 Sept
VV Zwaluwen
1 : 0 RKSV UDI 19
22 Aug
VV Zwaluwen
1 : 1 UNA
23 May
VV Zwaluwen
3 : 0 Blauw Geel
Page 1 of 3
Rijnvogels
(Away) 22 Sept
Rijnvogels
0 : 1 VVSB
19 Sept
Rijnvogels
1 : 0 SV Poortugaal
13 Sept
UNA
1 : 4 Rijnvogels
05 Sept
Rijnvogels
5 : 2 Dongen
02 Sept
Rijnvogels
5 : 0 VV Bennekom
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
UNA
1 : 4 Rijnvogels
30 Aug
GOES
1 : 4 Rijnvogels
23 Aug
Blauw Geel
0 : 0 Rijnvogels
01 Aug
Rijnsburgse Boys
4 : 2 Rijnvogels
06 Jun
Excelsior Maassluis
3 : 1 Rijnvogels
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rohda Raalte | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 63:36 | 67 |
| 2 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 59:39 | 62 |
| 3 | Sparta Nijkerk | 34 | 19 | 4 | 11 | 84:43 | 61 |
| 4 | ADO 20 Heemskerk | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 46:36 | 60 |
| 5 | Genemuiden | 34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 61:52 | 56 |
| 6 | Staphorst | 34 | 17 | 3 | 14 | 63:53 | 54 |
| 7 | Harkemase Boys | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 56:44 | 52 |
| 8 | VV DOVO | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 53:43 | 52 |
| 9 | Eemdijk | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 68:59 | 50 |
| 10 | VV Scherpenzeel | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 59:49 | 49 |
| 11 | VV Hoogeveen | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 54:64 | 48 |
| 12 | Sportlust | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 54:52 | 47 |
| 13 | USV Hercules | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 53:57 | 44 |
| 14 | Excelsior 31 | 34 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 49:57 | 40 |
| 15 | Huizen | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 51:63 | 40 |
| 16 | TEC | 34 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 48:64 | 40 |
| 17 | Urk | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 61:97 | 31 |
| 18 | HSC '21 | 34 | 1 | 5 | 28 | 35:109 | 8 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VV Kloetinge | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 68:43 | 73 |
| 2 | Lisse | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 67:33 | 68 |
| 3 | VVSB | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 70:37 | 68 |
| 4 | Rijnvogels | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 63:39 | 64 |
| 5 | Gemert | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 71:46 | 61 |
| 6 | Roosendaal | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 71:58 | 54 |
| 7 | TOGB | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 64:61 | 53 |
| 8 | VV Zwaluwen | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 61:48 | 51 |
| 9 | Blauw Geel | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 53:51 | 48 |
| 10 | VV Noordwijk | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 56:51 | 44 |
| 11 | RKSV UDI 19 | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 57:74 | 39 |
| 12 | UNA | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 51:59 | 38 |
| 13 | GOES | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 43:61 | 37 |
| 14 | Groene Ster | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 45:64 | 36 |
| 15 | SteDoCo | 34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 35:69 | 34 |
| 16 | SVV Scheveningen | 34 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 49:65 | 32 |
| 17 | Meerssen | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 47:70 | 31 |
| 18 | ASWH | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 45:87 | 25 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
