Sport Picks
VV Zwaluwen vs TOGB - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Netherlands
Derde Divisie 2025/2026 
AI Match Summary
TOGB in this Derde Divisie 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored TOGB.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
15%
34%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: VV Zwaluwen
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- VV Zwaluwen have won more games recently than TOGB.
- VV Zwaluwen are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- Regular Derde Divisie 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
VV Zwaluwen Clean Sheet 17%
TOGB Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | VV Zwaluwen | TOGB |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 16 | 13 |
| Draws | 2 | 5 |
| Losses | 11 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.83 | 1.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 1.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.19 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 9, 2026 Derde Divisie
VV Zwaluwen vs TOGB
0:1
Nov 29, 2025 Derde Divisie
TOGB vs VV Zwaluwen
4:4
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
VV Zwaluwen 66 / 100
TOGB 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
VV Zwaluwen TOGB
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick VV Zwaluwen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
TOGB let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 4.50 goals.
VV Zwaluwen scored in 79% of their last 29 games.
Solid form: VV Zwaluwen remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
VV Zwaluwen VS TOGB
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.75
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
VV Zwaluwen
(Home) 03 Oct
VV Zwaluwen
1 : 0 Achilles Veen
26 Sept
VV Noordwijk
1 : 2 VV Zwaluwen
23 Sept
VV Zwaluwen
0 : 1 Purmersteijn
19 Sept
VV Zwaluwen
1 : 0 Lisse
12 Sept
Groene Ster
1 : 0 VV Zwaluwen
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
VV Zwaluwen
1 : 0 Achilles Veen
23 Sept
VV Zwaluwen
0 : 1 Purmersteijn
19 Sept
VV Zwaluwen
1 : 0 Lisse
05 Sept
VV Zwaluwen
1 : 0 RKSV UDI 19
22 Aug
VV Zwaluwen
1 : 1 UNA
Page 1 of 3
TOGB
(Away) 03 Oct
TOGB
4 : 3 Roosendaal
26 Sept
Achilles Veen
0 : 1 TOGB
23 Sept
TOGB
4 : 6 Rohda Raalte
19 Sept
TOGB
0 : 3 VV Noordwijk
12 Sept
Lisse
3 : 2 TOGB
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Achilles Veen
0 : 1 TOGB
12 Sept
Lisse
3 : 2 TOGB
30 Aug
RKSV UDI 19
2 : 1 TOGB
16 Aug
UNA
1 : 1 TOGB
08 Aug
Lisse
4 : 0 TOGB
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rohda Raalte | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 63:36 | 67 |
| 2 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 59:39 | 62 |
| 3 | Sparta Nijkerk | 34 | 19 | 4 | 11 | 84:43 | 61 |
| 4 | ADO 20 Heemskerk | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 46:36 | 60 |
| 5 | Genemuiden | 34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 61:52 | 56 |
| 6 | Staphorst | 34 | 17 | 3 | 14 | 63:53 | 54 |
| 7 | Harkemase Boys | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 56:44 | 52 |
| 8 | VV DOVO | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 53:43 | 52 |
| 9 | Eemdijk | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 68:59 | 50 |
| 10 | VV Scherpenzeel | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 59:49 | 49 |
| 11 | VV Hoogeveen | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 54:64 | 48 |
| 12 | Sportlust | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 54:52 | 47 |
| 13 | USV Hercules | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 53:57 | 44 |
| 14 | Excelsior 31 | 34 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 49:57 | 40 |
| 15 | Huizen | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 51:63 | 40 |
| 16 | TEC | 34 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 48:64 | 40 |
| 17 | Urk | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 61:97 | 31 |
| 18 | HSC '21 | 34 | 1 | 5 | 28 | 35:109 | 8 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VV Kloetinge | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 68:43 | 73 |
| 2 | Lisse | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 67:33 | 68 |
| 3 | VVSB | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 70:37 | 68 |
| 4 | Rijnvogels | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 63:39 | 64 |
| 5 | Gemert | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 71:46 | 61 |
| 6 | Roosendaal | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 71:58 | 54 |
| 7 | TOGB | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 64:61 | 53 |
| 8 | VV Zwaluwen | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 61:48 | 51 |
| 9 | Blauw Geel | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 53:51 | 48 |
| 10 | VV Noordwijk | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 56:51 | 44 |
| 11 | RKSV UDI 19 | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 57:74 | 39 |
| 12 | UNA | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 51:59 | 38 |
| 13 | GOES | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 43:61 | 37 |
| 14 | Groene Ster | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 45:64 | 36 |
| 15 | SteDoCo | 34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 35:69 | 34 |
| 16 | SVV Scheveningen | 34 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 49:65 | 32 |
| 17 | Meerssen | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 47:70 | 31 |
| 18 | ASWH | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 45:87 | 25 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
