Sport Picks

Stadium Background

VVOG vs ACV Assen

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2022/2023
VVOG Logo

VVOG

1 - 4
FT
ACV Assen Logo

ACV Assen

Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Mulder J.
47' Event
Grevink N.
75' Event
van Warven D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Derde Divisie 2022/2023 game between VVOG and ACV Assen finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward ACV Assen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
VVOG
15%
Draws
69%
ACV Assen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: ACV Assen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and ACV Assen come out ahead of VVOG on wins alone.
  • Model gives ACV Assen a 69% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • ACV Assen have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
VVOG Clean Sheet 17%
ACV Assen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric VVOG ACV Assen
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 14
Draws 3 7
Losses 18 9
Goals Scored 1.4 2.17
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.85 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 3, 2024 Club Friendly
VVOG vs ACV Assen
0:3
May 20, 2023 Derde Divisie
VVOG vs ACV Assen
1:4
Nov 26, 2022 Derde Divisie
ACV Assen vs VVOG
4:0
May 21, 2022 Derde Divisie
ACV Assen vs VVOG
3:1
Sep 4, 2021 Derde Divisie
VVOG vs ACV Assen
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

VVOG Compare

Top Goalscorer van Warven D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.93

ACV Assen Compare

Top Goalscorer Zwikstra G.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Mulder J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

VVOG 10 / 100
ACV Assen 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
VVOG ACV Assen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ACV Assen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.

VVOG found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

ACV Assen has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: VVOG stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS ACV Assen
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 2.5
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

VVOG

(Home)
02 Sept
Blauw Geel
2 : 1
VVOG
10 Aug
Eemdijk
2 : 4
VVOG
03 Aug
VVOG
0 : 3
ACV Assen
03 Jun
VVOG
2 : 4
Smitshoek
30 May
Smitshoek
1 : 0
VVOG
Page 1 of 6

ACV Assen

(Away)
12 Sept
ACV Assen
5 : 1
Eemdijk
05 Sept
USV Hercules
0 : 3
ACV Assen
02 Sept
ACV Assen
6 : 1
Westlandia
29 Aug
ACV Assen
1 : 1
DVS '33 Ermelo
22 Aug
HVV Hollandia
0 : 2
ACV Assen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ACV Assen 34 22 9 3 71:33 75
2 GVVV 34 21 6 7 77:40 69
3 SteDoCo 34 18 4 12 59:42 58
4 Rijnvogels 34 17 5 12 64:55 56
5 Barendrecht 34 18 5 11 71:54 55
6 Sportlust 34 15 8 11 52:50 53
7 DVS '33 Ermelo 34 15 7 12 54:43 52
8 Sparta Nijkerk 34 13 11 10 45:45 50
9 HSV Hoek 34 16 2 16 71:72 50
10 VV DOVO 34 15 3 16 51:56 48
11 Staphorst 34 12 9 13 38:41 45
12 Urk 34 13 3 18 62:76 42
13 Harkemase Boys 34 10 8 16 52:56 38
14 RKAV Volendam 34 9 9 16 52:72 36
15 VVOG 34 10 5 19 49:71 35
16 Excelsior 31 34 8 9 17 47:58 33
17 Ter Leede 34 8 9 17 50:65 33
18 ASWH 34 7 6 21 25:61 27
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2022/2023 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2022/2023 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2022/2023 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ADO 20 Heemskerk 34 27 3 4 85:37 84
2 VVSB 34 22 5 7 87:52 71
3 USV Hercules 34 18 9 7 64:33 63
4 Blauw Geel 34 15 10 9 53:45 55
5 OJC Rosmalen 34 16 6 12 58:56 54
6 HSC '21 34 14 9 11 64:42 51
7 UNA 34 12 13 9 55:41 49
8 TOGB 34 13 10 11 68:56 49
9 HV & CV Quick 34 13 10 11 59:47 49
10 DEM 34 13 9 12 58:53 48
11 Gemert 34 14 5 15 52:59 47
12 GVV Unitas 34 13 6 15 43:59 45
13 Groene Ster 34 10 13 11 42:44 43
14 FC OSS '20 34 8 12 14 39:59 36
15 Watergraafsmeer 34 8 8 18 35:80 32
16 Baronie 34 8 4 22 44:70 28
17 Dongen 34 6 7 21 45:77 25
18 RKSV UDI 19 34 4 5 25 26:67 17
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2022/2023 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2022/2023 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2022/2023 (Relegation)