Sport Picks
Match Events
14'
14'
Dijkhof M.
24'
24'
de Graaf J.
27'
27'
Delannoy G.
AI Match Summary
HSV Hoek in this Derde Divisie 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 3-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored HSV Hoek.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
20%
50%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: HSV Hoek
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
50%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to HSV Hoek lately — more wins on the board than VVOG.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
VVOG Clean Sheet 20%
HSV Hoek Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | VVOG | HSV Hoek |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 34 |
| Wins | 9 | 15 |
| Draws | 3 | 7 |
| Losses | 18 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.4 | 1.76 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.13 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.23 | 1.18 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 25, 2023 Derde Divisie
VVOG vs HSV Hoek
3:4
Oct 1, 2022 Derde Divisie
HSV Hoek vs VVOG
2:1
Jun 4, 2022 Derde Divisie
VVOG vs HSV Hoek
3:2
Sep 25, 2021 Derde Divisie
HSV Hoek vs VVOG
4:0
May 22, 2021 Derde Divisie
VVOG vs HSV Hoek
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
VVOG Compare
Top Goalscorer Dijkhof M.
1 Goals Assists Leader de Graaf J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61
HSV Hoek Compare
Top Goalscorer Delannoy G.
2 Goals Assists Leader Gjoka A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
VVOG 36 / 100
HSV Hoek 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
VVOG HSV Hoek
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick HSV Hoek Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
HSV Hoek has conceded goals in 82% of their last 34 outings.
These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.
VVOG's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Recent resilience: VVOG stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS HSV Hoek
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
VVOG
(Home) 02 Sept
Blauw Geel
2 : 1 VVOG
10 Aug
Eemdijk
2 : 4 VVOG
03 Aug
VVOG
0 : 3 ACV Assen
03 Jun
VVOG
2 : 4 Smitshoek
30 May
Smitshoek
1 : 0 VVOG
Page 1 of 6
03 Aug
VVOG
0 : 3 ACV Assen
03 Jun
VVOG
2 : 4 Smitshoek
20 May
VVOG
1 : 4 ACV Assen
06 May
VVOG
2 : 1 ASWH
08 Apr
VVOG
1 : 1 Sparta Nijkerk
Page 1 of 3
HSV Hoek
(Away) 12 Sept
Barendrecht
1 : 1 HSV Hoek
05 Sept
RKAV Volendam
2 : 1 HSV Hoek
29 Aug
HSV Hoek
0 : 2 Spakenburg
22 Aug
Katwijk
1 : 1 HSV Hoek
15 Aug
HSV Hoek
3 : 1 Koninklijke HFC
Page 1 of 7
12 Sept
Barendrecht
1 : 1 HSV Hoek
05 Sept
RKAV Volendam
2 : 1 HSV Hoek
22 Aug
Katwijk
1 : 1 HSV Hoek
23 May
De Treffers
2 : 2 HSV Hoek
09 May
Barendrecht
4 : 2 HSV Hoek
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ACV Assen | 34 | 22 | 9 | 3 | 71:33 | 75 |
| 2 | GVVV | 34 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 77:40 | 69 |
| 3 | SteDoCo | 34 | 18 | 4 | 12 | 59:42 | 58 |
| 4 | Rijnvogels | 34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 64:55 | 56 |
| 5 | Barendrecht | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 71:54 | 55 |
| 6 | Sportlust | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 52:50 | 53 |
| 7 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 54:43 | 52 |
| 8 | Sparta Nijkerk | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 45:45 | 50 |
| 9 | HSV Hoek | 34 | 16 | 2 | 16 | 71:72 | 50 |
| 10 | VV DOVO | 34 | 15 | 3 | 16 | 51:56 | 48 |
| 11 | Staphorst | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 38:41 | 45 |
| 12 | Urk | 34 | 13 | 3 | 18 | 62:76 | 42 |
| 13 | Harkemase Boys | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 52:56 | 38 |
| 14 | RKAV Volendam | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 52:72 | 36 |
| 15 | VVOG | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 49:71 | 35 |
| 16 | Excelsior 31 | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 47:58 | 33 |
| 17 | Ter Leede | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 50:65 | 33 |
| 18 | ASWH | 34 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 25:61 | 27 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2022/2023 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2022/2023 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2022/2023 (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ADO 20 Heemskerk | 34 | 27 | 3 | 4 | 85:37 | 84 |
| 2 | VVSB | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 87:52 | 71 |
| 3 | USV Hercules | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 64:33 | 63 |
| 4 | Blauw Geel | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 53:45 | 55 |
| 5 | OJC Rosmalen | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 58:56 | 54 |
| 6 | HSC '21 | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 64:42 | 51 |
| 7 | UNA | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 55:41 | 49 |
| 8 | TOGB | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 68:56 | 49 |
| 9 | HV & CV Quick | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 59:47 | 49 |
| 10 | DEM | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 58:53 | 48 |
| 11 | Gemert | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 52:59 | 47 |
| 12 | GVV Unitas | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 43:59 | 45 |
| 13 | Groene Ster | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 42:44 | 43 |
| 14 | FC OSS '20 | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 39:59 | 36 |
| 15 | Watergraafsmeer | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 35:80 | 32 |
| 16 | Baronie | 34 | 8 | 4 | 22 | 44:70 | 28 |
| 17 | Dongen | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 45:77 | 25 |
| 18 | RKSV UDI 19 | 34 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 26:67 | 17 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2022/2023 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2022/2023 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2022/2023 (Relegation)
