Sport Picks
Match Events
35'
35'
van der Weijden M.
49'
49'
Roossien L.
90'
90'
van den Brink R.
AI Match Summary
The Derde Divisie 2022/2023 game between VVOG and Sparta Nijkerk finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
17%
15%
68%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sparta Nijkerk
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
68%
/ High Confidence
- Sparta Nijkerk carry the better recent record into this one.
- Sparta Nijkerk are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Derde Divisie 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
VVOG Clean Sheet 10%
Sparta Nijkerk Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | VVOG | Sparta Nijkerk |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 13 |
| Draws | 3 | 5 |
| Losses | 18 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.4 | 2.27 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.13 | 1.6 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.42 | 1.86 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 8, 2023 Derde Divisie
VVOG vs Sparta Nijkerk
1:1
Oct 15, 2022 Derde Divisie
Sparta Nijkerk vs VVOG
1:2
May 28, 2022 Derde Divisie
Sparta Nijkerk vs VVOG
3:2
Feb 19, 2022 Derde Divisie
VVOG vs Sparta Nijkerk
1:1
Mar 20, 2021 Derde Divisie
Sparta Nijkerk vs VVOG
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
VVOG Compare
Top Goalscorer Roossien L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71
Sparta Nijkerk Compare
Top Goalscorer van der Weijden M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.69
Avg xA / game 1.03
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
VVOG 10 / 100
Sparta Nijkerk 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
VVOG Sparta Nijkerk
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sparta Nijkerk Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
VVOG's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Sparta Nijkerk has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
VVOG has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
- VS Sparta Nijkerk
0 Goals Scored 2.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
VVOG
(Home) 02 Sept
Blauw Geel
2 : 1 VVOG
10 Aug
Eemdijk
2 : 4 VVOG
03 Aug
VVOG
0 : 3 ACV Assen
03 Jun
VVOG
2 : 4 Smitshoek
30 May
Smitshoek
1 : 0 VVOG
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03 Aug
VVOG
0 : 3 ACV Assen
03 Jun
VVOG
2 : 4 Smitshoek
20 May
VVOG
1 : 4 ACV Assen
06 May
VVOG
2 : 1 ASWH
08 Apr
VVOG
1 : 1 Sparta Nijkerk
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Sparta Nijkerk
(Away) 26 Sept
Sparta Nijkerk
3 : 2 Staphorst
23 Sept
Sparta Nijkerk
3 : 1 RKSV UDI 19
19 Sept
Eemdijk
0 : 4 Sparta Nijkerk
12 Sept
Sparta Nijkerk
1 : 2 USV Hercules
05 Sept
DVS '33 Ermelo
1 : 3 Sparta Nijkerk
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19 Sept
Eemdijk
0 : 4 Sparta Nijkerk
05 Sept
DVS '33 Ermelo
1 : 3 Sparta Nijkerk
22 Aug
TEC
3 : 1 Sparta Nijkerk
30 May
IJsselmeervogels
2 : 1 Sparta Nijkerk
16 May
Sportlust
0 : 2 Sparta Nijkerk
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ACV Assen | 34 | 22 | 9 | 3 | 71:33 | 75 |
| 2 | GVVV | 34 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 77:40 | 69 |
| 3 | SteDoCo | 34 | 18 | 4 | 12 | 59:42 | 58 |
| 4 | Rijnvogels | 34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 64:55 | 56 |
| 5 | Barendrecht | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 71:54 | 55 |
| 6 | Sportlust | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 52:50 | 53 |
| 7 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 54:43 | 52 |
| 8 | Sparta Nijkerk | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 45:45 | 50 |
| 9 | HSV Hoek | 34 | 16 | 2 | 16 | 71:72 | 50 |
| 10 | VV DOVO | 34 | 15 | 3 | 16 | 51:56 | 48 |
| 11 | Staphorst | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 38:41 | 45 |
| 12 | Urk | 34 | 13 | 3 | 18 | 62:76 | 42 |
| 13 | Harkemase Boys | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 52:56 | 38 |
| 14 | RKAV Volendam | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 52:72 | 36 |
| 15 | VVOG | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 49:71 | 35 |
| 16 | Excelsior 31 | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 47:58 | 33 |
| 17 | Ter Leede | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 50:65 | 33 |
| 18 | ASWH | 34 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 25:61 | 27 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2022/2023 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2022/2023 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2022/2023 (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ADO 20 Heemskerk | 34 | 27 | 3 | 4 | 85:37 | 84 |
| 2 | VVSB | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 87:52 | 71 |
| 3 | USV Hercules | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 64:33 | 63 |
| 4 | Blauw Geel | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 53:45 | 55 |
| 5 | OJC Rosmalen | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 58:56 | 54 |
| 6 | HSC '21 | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 64:42 | 51 |
| 7 | UNA | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 55:41 | 49 |
| 8 | TOGB | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 68:56 | 49 |
| 9 | HV & CV Quick | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 59:47 | 49 |
| 10 | DEM | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 58:53 | 48 |
| 11 | Gemert | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 52:59 | 47 |
| 12 | GVV Unitas | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 43:59 | 45 |
| 13 | Groene Ster | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 42:44 | 43 |
| 14 | FC OSS '20 | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 39:59 | 36 |
| 15 | Watergraafsmeer | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 35:80 | 32 |
| 16 | Baronie | 34 | 8 | 4 | 22 | 44:70 | 28 |
| 17 | Dongen | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 45:77 | 25 |
| 18 | RKSV UDI 19 | 34 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 26:67 | 17 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2022/2023 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2022/2023 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2022/2023 (Relegation)
