Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Waalwijk vs Jong AZ Alkmaar

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
(Penalty)
13' Event
van Gemert H.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Waalwijk and Jong AZ Alkmaar finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Waalwijk
44%
Draws
20%
Jong AZ Alkmaar
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Waalwijk come out ahead of Jong AZ Alkmaar on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Waalwijk Clean Sheet 20%
Jong AZ Alkmaar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Waalwijk Jong AZ Alkmaar
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 12 9
Draws 9 3
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 2 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Club Friendly
Waalwijk vs Jong AZ Alkmaar
1:1
Mar 13, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Waalwijk vs Jong AZ Alkmaar
2:1
Aug 11, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Jong AZ Alkmaar vs Waalwijk
2:3
Apr 12, 2019 Eerste Divisie
Jong AZ Alkmaar vs Waalwijk
2:4
Sep 21, 2018 Eerste Divisie
Waalwijk vs Jong AZ Alkmaar
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Waalwijk Compare

Top Goalscorer van Gemert H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Jong AZ Alkmaar Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Waalwijk 36 / 100
Jong AZ Alkmaar 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Waalwijk Jong AZ Alkmaar

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JAZ Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Waalwijk found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (28 games).

Jong AZ Alkmaar let in goals in 89% of their last 27 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Waalwijk stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Waalwijk VS Jong AZ Alkmaar
2 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%