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Stadium Background

Waalwijk vs Willem II

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie 2025/2026 Mandemakers Stadion, Waalwijk
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Kuster H. In: Bakboord N.
Out: Kuster H.
46'
Sub
Fage R. In: van der Venne R.
Out: Fage R.
47'
Postma L.

AI Match Summary

Willem II in this Eredivisie 2025/2026 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Waalwijk
6%
Draws
90%
Willem II
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Willem II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Willem II lately — more wins on the board than Waalwijk.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Willem II taking it.
  • Willem II arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Willem II, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Waalwijk Clean Sheet 12%
Willem II Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Waalwijk Willem II
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 17
Draws 11 5
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1 2.63
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Eredivisie
Willem II vs Waalwijk
1:1
May 5, 2026 Eredivisie
Waalwijk vs Willem II
0:1
Feb 8, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Willem II vs Waalwijk
2:1
Oct 17, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Waalwijk vs Willem II
2:3
Jan 26, 2025 Eredivisie
Waalwijk vs Willem II
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Waalwijk 10 / 100
Willem II 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Waalwijk Willem II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WIL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Waalwijk scored in 94% of their last 31 games.

Waalwijk has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Willem II let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Waalwijk VS Willem II
1 Goals Scored 2.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Waalwijk

(Home)
18 Jul
Waalwijk
2 : 2
FC Volendam
18 Jul
Waalwijk
1 : 1
Alemannia Aachen
11 Jul
Kozakken Boys
0 : 0
Waalwijk
04 Jul
Waalwijk
1 : 1
Jong AZ Alkmaar
30 Jun
Waalwijk
2 : 1
Rot-Weiss Oberhausen
Page 1 of 7

Willem II

(Away)
11 Jul
Willem II
2 : 2
Eindhoven FC
04 Jul
Willem II
1 : 2
Quick Boys
29 Jun
RKDSV
0 : 11
Willem II
23 May
FC Volendam
1 : 3
Willem II
20 May
Willem II
1 : 2
FC Volendam
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Roda2
Waalwijk3
TBD-
Willem II-
Den Bosch2
Almere City6
TBD-
De Graafschap-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
FC Volendam-
Quarter-finals
Waalwijk1
Willem II2
Almere City5
De Graafschap3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
FC Volendam-
Semi-finals
Willem II3
Almere City0
TBD-
FC Volendam-
Final
Willem II4
FC Volendam3