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WaiBOP United vs Team Wellington

New Zealand New Zealand

Football Championship 2015/2016
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Luque A.
32' Event
Bevin A.
79' Event
Jones M.

AI Match Summary

The Football Championship 2015/2016 game between WaiBOP United and Team Wellington finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Team Wellington.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
WaiBOP United
6%
Draws
90%
Team Wellington
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Team Wellington

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Team Wellington carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Team Wellington's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Team Wellington have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
WaiBOP United Clean Sheet 19%
Team Wellington Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric WaiBOP United Team Wellington
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 13 21
Draws 1 7
Losses 16 4
Goals Scored 0 1.5
Goals Conceded 0 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2016 Football Championship
Team Wellington vs WaiBOP United
3:1
Nov 15, 2015 Football Championship
WaiBOP United vs Team Wellington
2:3
Jan 31, 2015 Football Championship
WaiBOP United vs Team Wellington
2:1
Nov 16, 2014 Football Championship
Team Wellington vs WaiBOP United
3:2
Feb 21, 2014 Football Championship
WaiBOP United vs Team Wellington
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

WaiBOP United Compare

Top Goalscorer Luque A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jones M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Team Wellington Compare

Top Goalscorer Bevin A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Harris B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

WaiBOP United 10 / 100
Team Wellington 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
WaiBOP United Team Wellington

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TEA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: WaiBOP United scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Team Wellington has conceded goals in 78% of their last 32 outings.

Recent resilience: WaiBOP United stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Team Wellington
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Auckland City14122043:1238
2Hawke s Bay1493229:1630
3Team Wellington1483336:2127
4Canterbury1482428:2326
5WaiBOP United1460829:2718
6Waitakere United1441923:3613
7Wellington Phoenix 214211124:467
8Southern United14101311:423