Sport Picks
Waitakere United vs Eastern Suburbs
New Zealand
Football Championship 2019/2020 Fred Taylor Park, Auckland 
Match Events
76'
76'
Searle P.
76'
76'
Searle P.
83'
83'
Burfoot S.
AI Match Summary
Waitakere United in this Football Championship 2019/2020 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Waitakere United.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
53%
15%
32%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Waitakere United
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
53%
/ Medium Confidence
- Waitakere United haven't matched Eastern Suburbs's recent run of results.
- 53% — that's where the model lands on Waitakere United taking it.
- European nights carry their own weight — this Football Championship 2019/2020 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Waitakere United Clean Sheet 10%
Eastern Suburbs Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Waitakere United | Eastern Suburbs |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 34 |
| Wins | 10 | 13 |
| Draws | 9 | 7 |
| Losses | 9 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 2.07 | 1.56 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.04 | 1.41 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.23 | 1.99 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 6, 2021 Football Championship
Waitakere United vs Eastern Suburbs
4:0
Dec 6, 2020 Football Championship
Eastern Suburbs vs Waitakere United
2:2
Feb 8, 2020 Football Championship
Waitakere United vs Eastern Suburbs
1:0
Nov 24, 2019 Football Championship
Eastern Suburbs vs Waitakere United
1:1
Mar 2, 2019 Football Championship
Eastern Suburbs vs Waitakere United
5:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Waitakere United Compare
Top Goalscorer Burfoot S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61
Eastern Suburbs Compare
Avg xG / game 1.81
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Waitakere United 74 / 100
Eastern Suburbs 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Waitakere United Eastern Suburbs
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Waitakere United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 5:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Waitakere United scored in 93% of their last 28 games.
H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.
Eastern Suburbs has conceded goals in 79% of their last 34 outings.
Waitakere United went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Eastern Suburbs
0 Goals Scored 2.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Waitakere United
(Home) 27 Feb
Auckland City
2 : 2 Waitakere United
21 Feb
Waitakere United
2 : 0 Hawke s Bay
14 Feb
Hamilton
3 : 2 Waitakere United
06 Feb
Waitakere United
4 : 0 Eastern Suburbs
30 Jan
Team Wellington
3 : 4 Waitakere United
Page 1 of 6
21 Feb
Waitakere United
2 : 0 Hawke s Bay
06 Feb
Waitakere United
4 : 0 Eastern Suburbs
23 Jan
Waitakere United
3 : 3 Canterbury
10 Jan
Waitakere United
0 : 3 Auckland City
12 Dec
Waitakere United
1 : 1 Hamilton
Page 1 of 3
Eastern Suburbs
(Away) 16 Aug
Eastern Suburbs
1 : 2 Wellington Olympic
26 Jul
Fencibles United AFC
0 : 2 Eastern Suburbs
05 Jul
Manukau United
1 : 3 Eastern Suburbs
24 Nov
Eastern Suburbs
0 : 2 Western Suburbs
16 Nov
Cashmere Technical
1 : 0 Eastern Suburbs
Page 1 of 7
26 Jul
Fencibles United AFC
0 : 2 Eastern Suburbs
05 Jul
Manukau United
1 : 3 Eastern Suburbs
16 Nov
Cashmere Technical
1 : 0 Eastern Suburbs
02 Nov
Coastal Spirit
2 : 1 Eastern Suburbs
12 Oct
Wellington Olympic
4 : 1 Eastern Suburbs
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Auckland City | 16 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 42:15 | 37 |
| 2 | Team Wellington | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 36:15 | 34 |
| 3 | Waitakere United | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 35:32 | 27 |
| 4 | Eastern Suburbs | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 33:26 | 22 |
| 5 | Tasman United | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 27:26 | 20 |
| 6 | Hamilton | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 24:39 | 20 |
| 7 | Southern United | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 25:38 | 19 |
| 8 | Wellington Phoenix 2 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 30:32 | 18 |
| 9 | Hawke s Bay | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 32:44 | 15 |
| 10 | Canterbury | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 19:36 | 10 |
Promotion - Football Championship 2019/2020 (Play Offs)
