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Waitakere United vs Hamilton

New Zealand New Zealand

Football Championship 2019/2020 Fred Taylor Park, Auckland
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Schnell D.
45' Event
Connor-McClean A.
58' Event
Schnell D.

AI Match Summary

Waitakere United in this Football Championship 2019/2020 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Waitakere United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Waitakere United
15%
Draws
40%
Hamilton
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Waitakere United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Hamilton lately — more wins on the board than Waitakere United.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on Waitakere United taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
Waitakere United Clean Sheet 10%
Hamilton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Waitakere United Hamilton
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 10 12
Draws 9 7
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 2.07 1.67
Goals Conceded 2.04 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 2.35 1.85
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2021 Football Championship
Hamilton vs Waitakere United
3:2
Dec 12, 2020 Football Championship
Waitakere United vs Hamilton
1:1
Feb 29, 2020 Football Championship
Waitakere United vs Hamilton
3:0
Feb 22, 2020 Football Championship
Hamilton vs Waitakere United
3:2
Dec 16, 2018 Football Championship
Waitakere United vs Hamilton
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Waitakere United Compare

Top Goalscorer Schnell D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Connor-McClean A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.81
Avg xA / game 1.18

Hamilton Compare

Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.03

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Waitakere United 83 / 100
Hamilton 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Waitakere United Hamilton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Waitakere United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 6:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Waitakere United scored in 93% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Hamilton conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Waitakere United remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Waitakere United VS Hamilton
2.57 Goals Scored 2
1.71 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
71% Over 2.5 75%
71% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Waitakere United

(Home)
27 Feb
Auckland City
2 : 2
Waitakere United
21 Feb
Waitakere United
2 : 0
Hawke s Bay
14 Feb
Hamilton
3 : 2
Waitakere United
06 Feb
Waitakere United
4 : 0
Eastern Suburbs
30 Jan
Team Wellington
3 : 4
Waitakere United
Page 1 of 6

Hamilton

(Away)
29 Jul
Hamilton
0 : 3
Christchurch
09 Jul
Hamilton
3 : 2
Ngaruawahia AFC
20 Aug
Eastern Suburbs
1 : 0
Hamilton
30 Jul
Miramar
3 : 4
Hamilton
09 Jul
Auckland United
0 : 1
Hamilton
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Auckland City 16 11 4 1 42:15 37
2 Team Wellington 16 10 4 2 36:15 34
3 Waitakere United 16 8 3 5 35:32 27
4 Eastern Suburbs 16 6 4 6 33:26 22
5 Tasman United 16 6 2 8 27:26 20
6 Hamilton 16 6 2 8 24:39 20
7 Southern United 16 5 4 7 25:38 19
8 Wellington Phoenix 2 16 4 6 6 30:32 18
9 Hawke s Bay 16 4 3 9 32:44 15
10 Canterbury 16 2 4 10 19:36 10
Promotion - Football Championship 2019/2020 (Play Offs)