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Waitakere United vs Mont Dore

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Champions League 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Waitakere United in this OFC Champions League 2012/2013 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Waitakere United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Waitakere United
20%
Draws
7%
Mont Dore
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Waitakere United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Waitakere United have won more games recently than Mont Dore.
  • 73% — that's where the model lands on Waitakere United taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Waitakere United here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.6%
Waitakere United Clean Sheet 68%
Mont Dore Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Waitakere United Mont Dore
Matches Played 34 19
Wins 16 1
Draws 9 2
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 2.29 0.95
Goals Conceded 1.79 3.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2013 OFC Champions League
Mont Dore vs Waitakere United
2:3
Apr 17, 2013 OFC Champions League
Waitakere United vs Mont Dore
3:1
Mar 31, 2012 OFC Champions League
Waitakere United vs Mont Dore
4:0
Dec 3, 2011 OFC Champions League
Mont Dore vs Waitakere United
0:1
Mar 31, 2007 OFC Champions League
Mont Dore vs Waitakere United
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Waitakere United 95 / 100
Mont Dore 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Waitakere United Mont Dore

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Waitakere United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Waitakere United found the back of the net in 94% of recent matches (34 games).

Defensive concern: Mont Dore conceded in 100% of 19 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Waitakere United went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Waitakere United VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Waitakere United

(Home)
27 Feb
Auckland City
2 : 2
Waitakere United
21 Feb
Waitakere United
2 : 0
Hawke s Bay
14 Feb
Hamilton
3 : 2
Waitakere United
06 Feb
Waitakere United
4 : 0
Eastern Suburbs
30 Jan
Team Wellington
3 : 4
Waitakere United
Page 1 of 7

Mont Dore

(Away)
28 Apr
Mont Dore
2 : 3
Waitakere United
24 Apr
AS Dragon
1 : 1
Mont Dore
17 Apr
Waitakere United
3 : 1
Mont Dore
13 Apr
Auckland City
12 : 2
Mont Dore
05 Apr
Mont Dore
1 : 4
AS Dragon
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ba 6 5 1 0 16:4 16
2 Amicale 6 3 1 2 7:4 10
3 PNG Hekari 6 1 1 4 5:12 4
4 Solomon Warriors 6 1 1 4 7:15 4
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2012/2013 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2012/2013 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Waitakere United 6 4 1 1 9:6 13
2 Auckland City 6 3 1 2 19:8 10
3 AS Dragon 6 2 3 1 9:5 9
4 Mont Dore 6 0 1 5 7:25 1
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2012/2013 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2012/2013 (Play Offs)