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Waitakere United vs WaiBOP United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

New Zealand New Zealand

Football Championship 2015/2016 Fred Taylor Park, Auckland
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Molony W.
16' Event
Molony W.
19' Event
Jones M.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Football Championship 2015/2016 game between Waitakere United and WaiBOP United finished 1-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward WaiBOP United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Waitakere United
15%
Draws
20%
WaiBOP United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Waitakere United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and WaiBOP United come out ahead of Waitakere United on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Waitakere United's way, sitting at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Football Championship 2015/2016 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Waitakere United Clean Sheet 20%
WaiBOP United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Waitakere United WaiBOP United
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 11 13
Draws 10 1
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.94 1.77
Goals Conceded 2.16 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 21, 2016 Football Championship
WaiBOP United vs Waitakere United
5:0
Nov 19, 2015 Football Championship
Waitakere United vs WaiBOP United
1:5
Feb 21, 2015 Football Championship
Waitakere United vs WaiBOP United
2:1
Dec 6, 2014 Football Championship
WaiBOP United vs Waitakere United
1:1
Feb 15, 2014 Football Championship
WaiBOP United vs Waitakere United
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Waitakere United Compare

Top Goalscorer Lovemore S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

WaiBOP United Compare

Top Goalscorer Molony W.
4 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Waitakere United 85 / 100
WaiBOP United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Waitakere United WaiBOP United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Waitakere United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Waitakere United scored in 91% of their last 32 outings.

WaiBOP United let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Waitakere United remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Waitakere United VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Waitakere United

(Home)
27 Feb
Auckland City
2 : 2
Waitakere United
21 Feb
Waitakere United
2 : 0
Hawke s Bay
14 Feb
Hamilton
3 : 2
Waitakere United
06 Feb
Waitakere United
4 : 0
Eastern Suburbs
30 Jan
Team Wellington
3 : 4
Waitakere United
Page 1 of 7

WaiBOP United

(Away)
28 Feb
Auckland City
4 : 1
WaiBOP United
20 Feb
WaiBOP United
4 : 2
Wellington Phoenix 2
14 Feb
Hawke s Bay
2 : 0
WaiBOP United
07 Feb
WaiBOP United
2 : 3
Canterbury
31 Jan
Team Wellington
3 : 1
WaiBOP United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Auckland City 14 12 2 0 43:12 38
2 Hawke s Bay 14 9 3 2 29:16 30
3 Team Wellington 14 8 3 3 36:21 27
4 Canterbury 14 8 2 4 28:23 26
5 WaiBOP United 14 6 0 8 29:27 18
6 Waitakere United 14 4 1 9 23:36 13
7 Wellington Phoenix 2 14 2 1 11 24:46 7
8 Southern United 14 1 0 13 11:42 3
Promotion - Football Championship 2015/2016 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Football Championship 2015/2016 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Football Championship 2015/2016 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Football Championship 2015/2016 (Play Offs)