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Wakiso Giants vs Ntugasaze - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uganda Uganda

Big League 2025/2026 Wakisha Stadium, Wakiso
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AI Match Summary

The Big League 2025/2026 game between Wakiso Giants and Ntugasaze finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ntugasaze.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Wakiso Giants
15%
Draws
42%
Ntugasaze
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Wakiso Giants

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Ntugasaze carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Big League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Wakiso Giants Clean Sheet 10%
Ntugasaze Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wakiso Giants Ntugasaze
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 14
Draws 7 8
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1.03 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.6 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.80 2.02
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Big League
Ntugasaze vs Wakiso Giants
3:0
Dec 14, 2025 Big League
Wakiso Giants vs Ntugasaze
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wakiso Giants 30 / 100
Ntugasaze 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wakiso Giants Ntugasaze

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Ntugasaze lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Wakiso Giants's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Ntugasaze conceded in 53% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Wakiso Giants VS Ntugasaze
0.86 Goals Scored 1.75
2.29 Goals Conceded 0.75
86% Over 1.5 88%
57% Over 2.5 63%
43% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Wakiso Giants

(Home)
06 Jun
Young Elephant
4 : 0
Wakiso Giants
24 May
Wakiso Giants
1 : 4
Bright Stars
17 May
Kaaro Karungi
1 : 0
Wakiso Giants
10 May
Wakiso Giants
3 : 2
Bunyaruguru
03 May
Ntugasaze
3 : 0
Wakiso Giants
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Ntugasaze

(Away)
07 Oct
Ntugasaze
1 : 0
Mbarara City
19 Sept
Vipers
3 : 0
Ntugasaze
08 Sept
BUL
4 : 1
Ntugasaze
02 Sept
Ntugasaze
1 : 3
Maroons
29 Aug
Blacks Power
1 : 0
Ntugasaze
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Blacks Power 30 16 7 7 35:18 55
2 Ntugasaze 30 14 11 5 42:22 53
3 Kataka 30 16 3 11 40:26 51
4 Kigezi HomeBoyz 30 14 9 7 36:22 51
5 Paidha Black Angels 30 15 7 8 33:23 50
6 Bunyaruguru 30 12 7 11 31:25 43
7 Young Elephant 30 12 6 12 44:40 42
8 Kiyinda Boys 30 12 6 12 40:31 40
9 Iganga United 30 11 5 14 30:33 38
10 Catda 30 9 10 11 24:32 37
11 Kaaro Karungi 30 10 8 12 26:30 36
12 Onduparaka 30 9 9 12 24:32 36
13 Nebbi Central 30 9 9 12 35:42 34
14 Bright Stars 30 7 11 12 25:31 32
15 Wakiso Giants 30 8 7 15 31:48 31
16 Mbale Heroes 30 6 5 19 14:67 17
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