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Wales U16 vs Northern Ireland U16

World World

Friendly International 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Feeney G.
78' Event
Mlynarski P.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2023 game between Wales U16 and Northern Ireland U16 finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Wales U16
28%
Draws
50%
Northern Ireland U16
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Northern Ireland U16

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Northern Ireland U16 come out ahead of Wales U16 on wins alone.
  • Northern Ireland U16 are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Wales U16 Clean Sheet 10%
Northern Ireland U16 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wales U16 Northern Ireland U16
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 8 9
Draws 2 7
Losses 20 12
Goals Scored 1.5 1
Goals Conceded 3 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 8, 2024 Friendly International
Wales U16 vs Northern Ireland U16
4:3
Nov 6, 2023 Friendly International
Wales U16 vs Northern Ireland U16
1:1
Nov 20, 2014 Friendly International
Northern Ireland U16 vs Wales U16
0:2
Nov 23, 2012 Friendly International
Northern Ireland U16 vs Wales U16
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wales U16 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mlynarski P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Northern Ireland U16 Compare

Top Goalscorer Feeney G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wales U16 22 / 100
Northern Ireland U16 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wales U16 Northern Ireland U16

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NOR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Northern Ireland U16 conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.25 goals per match.

Wales U16 scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Away concern: Northern Ireland U16 has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Wales U16 VS Northern Ireland U16
1.5 Goals Scored 1
3 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 38%
75% Over 3.5 38%