Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Wales U17 W vs Mexico U17 W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Friendly International Women
Wales U17 W Logo

Wales U17 W

Sat, Feb 14, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Mexico U17 W Logo

Mexico U17 W

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Wales U17 W host Mexico U17 W in the Friendly International Women. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Wales U17 W have averaged 1.48 scored and 2.34 conceded recently, against Mexico U17 W's 2.11 scored and 1 conceded. Past meetings favor Wales U17 W slightly — 0-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 14, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (0.75 xG vs 1.56) point toward Mexico U17 W. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Wales U17 W
20%
Draws
80%
Mexico U17 W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mexico U17 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mexico U17 W come out ahead of Wales U17 W on wins alone.
  • Model gives Mexico U17 W a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Wales U17 W Clean Sheet 15%
Mexico U17 W Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wales U17 W Mexico U17 W
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 13
Draws 3 5
Losses 17 10
Goals Scored 1.48 2.11
Goals Conceded 2.34 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Friendly International Women
Wales U17 W vs Mexico U17 W
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wales U17 W 10 / 100
Mexico U17 W 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wales U17 W Mexico U17 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mexico U17 W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Wales U17 W scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Mexico U17 W let in goals in 61% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 0.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Wales U17 W VS Mexico U17 W
1 Goals Scored 0.63
2.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 13%
63% Over 2.5 13%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Wales U17 W

(Home)
17 Mar
Wales U17 W
1 : 2
Slovakia U17 W
14 Mar
Poland U17 W
4 : 1
Wales U17 W
11 Mar
Netherlands U17 W
5 : 0
Wales U17 W
12 Feb
Wales U17 W
0 : 2
Scotland U17 W
09 Feb
Wales U17 W
0 : 5
USA U17 W
Page 1 of 6

Mexico U17 W

(Away)
16 Aug
Canada U17 W
1 : 1
Mexico U17 W
13 Aug
USA U17 W
1 : 1
Mexico U17 W
22 Mar
Mexico U17 W
2 : 0
Costa Rica U17 W
19 Mar
Panama U17 W
1 : 6
Mexico U17 W
17 Mar
Mexico U17 W
9 : 0
Jamaica U17 W
Page 1 of 6