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Friendly International Women

Mexico U17 W

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Wales U17 W play Mexico U17 W in the Friendly International Women. It looks like a close match. Recently, Wales U17 W averaged 1.48 goals scored and 2.34 conceded. Mexico U17 W averaged 2 goals scored and 0.85 conceded. In past meetings, Wales U17 W won 0, Mexico U17 W won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 14, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for Wales U17 W and 1.50 for Mexico U17 W. This points to a Mexico U17 W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%

Wales U17 W

15%

Draws

52%

Mexico U17 W

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mexico U17 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence

Wales U17 W picked up more points recently compared to Mexico U17 W.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 1.50 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 71%

Over 2.5 Goals 52%

Over 3.5 Goals 31%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%

Wales U17 W Clean Sheet 16%

Mexico U17 W Clean Sheet 13%

First Half Goal 64%

Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Wales U17 W	Mexico U17 W
Matches Played	29	33
Wins	9	17
Draws	3	6
Losses	17	10
Goals Scored	1.48	2
Goals Conceded	2.34	0.85
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.25	0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Friendly International Women

Wales U17 W vs Mexico U17 W

Possession: 50% - 50% Cards: 1 - 0

0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wales U17 W 33 / 100

Mexico U17 W 49 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Wales U17 W Mexico U17 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Mexico U17 W or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +32%

4.00

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.8%

2.17

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Wales U17 W attacking → ← attacking Mexico U17 W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wales U17 W scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Mexico U17 W let in goals in 52% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 0.00 goals.

Wales U17 W went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Mexico U17 W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

30 Points in last 5 57

1.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.75

2.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.50