Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Wales U19 vs Japan U19

World World

Friendly International 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Gentles J.
11' Event
Grainger W.
16' Event
Yamamoto T.

AI Match Summary

Wales U19 in this Friendly International 2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Wales U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Wales U19
15%
Draws
57%
Japan U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Japan U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Japan U19 at 1.79 per game, Wales U19 at 1.37.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Japan U19 taking it.
  • Regular Friendly International 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 47.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Wales U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Japan U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wales U19 Japan U19
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 10
Draws 4 1
Losses 16 18
Goals Scored 1.37 1.79
Goals Conceded 2.33 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.64 1.91
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 12, 2025 Friendly International
Wales U19 vs Japan U19
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wales U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Gentles J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Grainger W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.26
Avg xA / game 0.82

Japan U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Yamamoto T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sakai S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.74
Avg xA / game 1.06

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wales U19 10 / 100
Japan U19 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wales U19 Japan U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Japan U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Japan U19 let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Wales U19 scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Japan U19's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Wales U19 VS Japan U19
1.13 Goals Scored 1.57
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.14
88% Over 1.5 71%
75% Over 2.5 71%
38% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

Wales U19

(Home)
04 Jul
Denmark U19
3 : 0
Wales U19
01 Jul
Wales U19
0 : 4
Germany U19
28 Jun
Wales U19
0 : 7
Spain U19
08 Jun
Sweden U18
3 : 1
Wales U19
05 Jun
Qatar U20
0 : 2
Wales U19
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Japan U19

(Away)
09 Jun
USA U19
5 : 2
Japan U19
06 Jun
Mexico U20
1 : 3
Japan U19
30 Mar
Uzbekistan U19
2 : 1
Japan U19
25 Mar
Uzbekistan U19
0 : 1
Japan U19
18 Nov
Japan U19
0 : 1
USA U19
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