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Wales U19 vs USA U19 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Friendly International 2025
Sat, Nov 15, 2025
2 - 1
02:30 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Bradbury M.
67' Event
Shore J.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2025 game between Wales U19 and USA U19 finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Wales U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Wales U19
15%
Draws
78%
USA U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: USA U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and USA U19 come out ahead of Wales U19 on wins alone.
  • Model gives USA U19 a 78% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors USA U19 here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Wales U19 Clean Sheet 10%
USA U19 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wales U19 USA U19
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 18
Draws 4 4
Losses 17 7
Goals Scored 1.2 2.03
Goals Conceded 2.3 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 29, 2026 Friendly International
USA U19 vs Wales U19
2:0
Mar 28, 2026 Friendly International
Wales U19 vs USA U19
0:4
Nov 15, 2025 Friendly International
Wales U19 vs USA U19
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wales U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bradbury M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

USA U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Shore J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wales U19 10 / 100
USA U19 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wales U19 USA U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick USA U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: USA U19 conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Wales U19 found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).

Recent resilience: Wales U19 stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Wales U19 VS USA U19
1.13 Goals Scored 2.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Wales U19

(Home)
05 Oct
Wales U19
0 : 0
Northern Ireland U19
02 Oct
Wales U19
0 : 2
Norway U19
29 Sept
USA U19
2 : 0
Wales U19
04 Jul
Denmark U19
3 : 0
Wales U19
01 Jul
Wales U19
0 : 4
Germany U19
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USA U19

(Away)
05 Oct
USA U19
4 : 3
Norway U19
02 Oct
England U19
2 : 1
USA U19
29 Sept
USA U19
2 : 0
Wales U19
09 Jun
USA U19
5 : 2
Japan U19
28 Mar
Wales U19
0 : 4
USA U19
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