Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Wales U19 W vs Italy U19 W

Europe Europe

Euro U19 Women
Mon, Oct 5, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Wales U19 W host Italy U19 W in the Euro U19 Women. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Wales U19 W have averaged 1.25 scored and 1.88 conceded recently, against Italy U19 W's 1.88 scored and 0.38 conceded. Head-to-head, Wales U19 W have won 0 to Italy U19 W's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Oct 8, 2022, ending 3:1. Model xG sits at 0.81 vs 1.88, favoring Italy U19 W. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Wales U19 W
40%
Draws
29%
Italy U19 W
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Italy U19 W have won more games recently than Wales U19 W.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Euro U19 Women fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Italy U19 W have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Wales U19 W Clean Sheet 10%
Italy U19 W Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wales U19 W Italy U19 W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 11
Draws 3 10
Losses 17 9
Goals Scored 1.25 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.88 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 8, 2022 Euro U19 Women
Italy U19 W vs Wales U19 W
3:1
Oct 18, 2016 Euro U19 Women
Wales U19 W vs Italy U19 W
0:6
Sep 18, 2014 Euro U19 Women
Wales U19 W vs Italy U19 W
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wales U19 W 30 / 100
Italy U19 W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wales U19 W Italy U19 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.33 goals when they meet.

Wales U19 W scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Recent resilience: Wales U19 W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Italy U19 W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Wales U19 W VS Italy U19 W
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.38
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 13%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Wales U19 W

(Home)
06 Jun
Wales U19 W
1 : 5
Denmark U19 W
15 Apr
Latvia U19 W
1 : 3
Wales U19 W
12 Apr
England U19 W
2 : 3
Wales U19 W
09 Apr
Wales U19 W
0 : 3
Switzerland U19 W
05 Mar
Czech Republic U19 W
0 : 2
Wales U19 W
Page 1 of 6

Italy U19 W

(Away)
17 Apr
Sweden U19 W
0 : 0
Italy U19 W
14 Apr
Italy U19 W
1 : 5
Netherlands U19 W
11 Apr
Italy U19 W
2 : 0
Ukraine U19 W
07 Mar
Italy U19 W
0 : 0
Poland U19 W
06 Mar
Italy U19 W
0 : 1
Germany U19 W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Belarus U19 W00000:00
2Austria U19 W00000:00
3Northern Ireland U19 W00000:00
4Scotland U19 W00000:00
Promotion - Euro U19 Women (Round 2 - League A)
Relegation - Euro U19 Women (Round 2 - League B)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Italy U19 W00000:00
2Spain U19 W00000:00
3Israel U19 W00000:00
4Wales U19 W00000:00
Promotion - Euro U19 Women (Round 2 - League A)
Relegation - Euro U19 Women (Round 2 - League B)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Poland U19 W00000:00
2Greece U19 W00000:00
3Slovakia U19 W00000:00
4Kosovo U19 W00000:00
Promotion - Euro U19 Women (Round 2 - League A)
Relegation - Euro U19 Women (Round 2 - League B)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Portugal U19 W00000:00
2Finland U19 W00000:00
3Sweden U19 W00000:00
4Turkey U19 W00000:00
Promotion - Euro U19 Women (Round 2 - League A)
Relegation - Euro U19 Women (Round 2 - League B)

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1England U19 W00000:00
2Bosnia & Herzegovina U19 W00000:00
3Denmark U19 W00000:00
4Switzerland U19 W00000:00
Promotion - Euro U19 Women (Round 2 - League A)
Relegation - Euro U19 Women (Round 2 - League B)

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Germany U19 W00000:00
2Netherlands U19 W00000:00
3Norway U19 W00000:00
4Slovenia U19 W00000:00
Promotion - Euro U19 Women (Round 2 - League A)
Relegation - Euro U19 Women (Round 2 - League B)

League Standings (Group 7)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Belgium U19 W00000:00
2France U19 W00000:00
3Croatia U19 W00000:00
4Iceland U19 W00000:00
Promotion - Euro U19 Women (Round 2 - League A)
Relegation - Euro U19 Women (Round 2 - League B)