Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Wales U21 vs Czech Republic U21

Europe Europe

Euro U21 2025 Rodney Parade, Newport
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Baker M.
Own Goal
29'
Jurasek M.
31'
Hadas M.

AI Match Summary

The Euro U21 2025 game between Wales U21 and Czech Republic U21 finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Czech Republic U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Wales U21
20%
Draws
36%
Czech Republic U21
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Wales U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Czech Republic U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Czech Republic U21 a 36% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Euro U21 2025 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Czech Republic U21 have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Wales U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Czech Republic U21 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wales U21 Czech Republic U21
Matches Played 31 33
Wins 13 16
Draws 4 8
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.45 1.64
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2024 Euro U21
Wales U21 vs Czech Republic U21
1:2
Oct 13, 2023 Euro U21
Czech Republic U21 vs Wales U21
1:1
Sep 10, 2012 Euro U21
Czech Republic U21 vs Wales U21
5:0
Oct 11, 2011 Euro U21
Wales U21 vs Czech Republic U21
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wales U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Hoole L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Czech Republic U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Sejk V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wales U21 10 / 100
Czech Republic U21 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wales U21 Czech Republic U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CZE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Wales U21 scored in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Czech Republic U21 let in goals in 61% of their last 33 matches.

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Wales U21 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Wales U21 VS Czech Republic U21
0.88 Goals Scored 1.88
3.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Wales U21

(Home)
31 Mar
Denmark U21
4 : 0
Wales U21
27 Mar
Wales U21
2 : 0
Belarus U21
14 Nov
Belarus U21
3 : 0
Wales U21
14 Oct
Austria U21
0 : 2
Wales U21
10 Oct
Wales U21
0 : 7
Belgium U21
Page 1 of 7

Czech Republic U21

(Away)
31 Mar
Czech Republic U21
5 : 0
Gibraltar U21
27 Mar
Scotland U21
0 : 0
Czech Republic U21
18 Nov
Czech Republic U21
0 : 0
Portugal U21
14 Nov
Czech Republic U21
1 : 2
Serbia U21
14 Oct
Bulgaria U21
2 : 1
Czech Republic U21
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Italy U21 10 6 4 0 27:4 22
2 Norway U21 10 6 1 3 28:11 19
3 Ireland U21 10 5 4 1 24:12 19
4 Turkey U21 10 4 1 5 21:15 13
5 Latvia U21 10 3 2 5 10:18 11
6 San Marino U21 10 0 0 10 1:51 0
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain U21 10 9 1 0 28:5 28
2 Belgium U21 10 6 1 3 13:6 19
3 Scotland U21 10 5 1 4 19:11 16
4 Hungary U21 10 5 1 4 12:8 16
5 Kazakhstan U21 10 3 0 7 13:24 9
6 Malta U21 10 0 0 10 4:35 0
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Netherlands U21 10 10 0 0 32:3 30
2 Georgia U21 10 6 1 3 14:10 19
3 Sweden U21 10 5 2 3 25:10 17
4 North Macedonia U21 10 4 0 6 8:15 12
5 Moldova U21 10 2 1 7 7:20 7
6 Gibraltar U21 10 1 0 9 3:31 3
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany U21 10 8 2 0 35:10 26
2 Poland U21 10 7 1 2 24:10 22
3 Bulgaria U21 10 4 3 3 17:12 15
4 Kosovo U21 10 3 3 4 10:17 12
5 Estonia U21 10 2 1 7 7:31 7
6 Israel U21 10 1 0 9 5:18 3
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Romania U21 10 7 1 2 23:10 22
2 Finland U21 10 6 2 2 21:8 20
3 Switzerland U21 10 5 3 2 21:12 18
4 Albania U21 10 5 1 4 12:17 16
5 Montenegro U21 10 2 1 7 8:19 7
6 Armenia U21 10 0 2 8 2:21 2
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England U21 10 8 1 1 41:6 25
2 Ukraine U21 10 8 0 2 20:7 24
3 Serbia U21 10 5 1 4 13:18 16
4 Northern Ireland U21 10 3 2 5 10:10 11
5 Luxembourg U21 10 2 2 6 6:23 8
6 Azerbaijan U21 10 1 0 9 4:30 3
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal U21 10 9 0 1 33:6 27
2 Croatia U21 10 7 1 2 20:14 22
3 Greece U21 10 5 2 3 16:10 17
4 Faroe Islands U21 10 3 1 6 11:24 10
5 Belarus U21 10 1 3 6 6:20 6
6 Andorra U21 10 0 3 7 4:16 3
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Slovenia U21 8 5 2 1 13:7 17
2 France U21 8 5 1 2 22:6 16
3 Austria U21 8 4 3 1 12:6 15
4 Cyprus U21 8 1 2 5 7:23 5
5 Bosnia & Herzegovina U21 8 1 0 7 5:17 3
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Denmark U21 8 5 2 1 18:8 17
2 Czech Republic U21 8 4 2 2 13:11 14
3 Wales U21 8 4 2 2 13:11 14
4 Iceland U21 8 3 0 5 9:14 9
5 Lithuania U21 8 1 0 7 7:16 3
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)