Sport Picks

Europe

Euro U21 2025 Rodney Parade, Newport

Wales U21

2 - 1

Lithuania U21

Our Tip

Match Events

11'

Burba M.

15'

Colwill R.

Assist: Davies T.

59'

Kersys K.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Wales U21 in this Euro U21 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Wales U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%

Wales U21

30%

Draws

23%

Lithuania U21

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Wales U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

23% / Low Confidence

Wales U21 have won more games recently than Lithuania U21.
23% — that's where the model lands on Lithuania U21 taking it.
Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Wales U21 have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%

Wales U21 Clean Sheet 16%

Lithuania U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Wales U21	Lithuania U21
Matches Played	31	29
Wins	13	2
Draws	4	6
Losses	14	21
Goals Scored	1.45	0.79
Goals Conceded	1.87	2.24
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2024 Euro U21

Wales U21 vs Lithuania U21

2:1

Sep 12, 2023 Euro U21

Lithuania U21 vs Wales U21

2:3

Sep 9, 2014 Euro U21

Lithuania U21 vs Wales U21

1:1

Oct 11, 2013 Euro U21

Wales U21 vs Lithuania U21

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wales U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Colwill R.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Koumas L.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.35

Avg xA / game 0.88

Lithuania U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Burba M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.31

Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wales U21 19 / 100

Lithuania U21 56 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Wales U21 Lithuania U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lithuania U21 Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lithuania U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 29 matches.

Wales U21 scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Wales U21 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Wales U21 VS Lithuania U21

1 Goals Scored 0.25

2.63 Goals Conceded 2.5

88% Over 1.5 100%

50% Over 2.5 50%

38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Wales U21

(Home)

31 Mar

Denmark U21

4 : 0

Wales U21

27 Mar

Wales U21

2 : 0

Belarus U21

14 Nov

Belarus U21

3 : 0

Wales U21

14 Oct

Austria U21

0 : 2

Wales U21

10 Oct

Wales U21

0 : 7

Belgium U21

Page 1 of 7

Lithuania U21

(Away)

09 Jun

Lithuania U21

2 : 2

Latvia U21

07 Jun

Estonia U21

2 : 2

Lithuania U21

27 Mar

Ukraine U21

1 : 1

Lithuania U21

18 Nov

Lithuania U21

1 : 2

Turkey U21

13 Nov

Croatia U21

4 : 0

Lithuania U21

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