Sport Picks
Wales U21 vs Lithuania U21
Europe
Euro U21 2025 Rodney Parade, Newport 
Match Events
11'
11'
Burba M.
15'
15'
Colwill R.
Assist: Davies T.
59'
59'
Kersys K.
AI Match Summary
Wales U21 in this Euro U21 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Wales U21.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
18%
22%
60%
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Lithuania U21
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
82%
/ Very High Confidence
- Wales U21 have won more games recently than Lithuania U21.
- 60% — that's where the model lands on Lithuania U21 taking it.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Wales U21 have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Wales U21 Clean Sheet 16%
Lithuania U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Wales U21 | Lithuania U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 2 |
| Draws | 4 | 6 |
| Losses | 14 | 21 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 0.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.63 | 2.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 0.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.63 | 2.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 22, 2024 Euro U21
Wales U21 vs Lithuania U21
2:1
Sep 12, 2023 Euro U21
Lithuania U21 vs Wales U21
2:3
Sep 9, 2014 Euro U21
Lithuania U21 vs Wales U21
1:1
Oct 11, 2013 Euro U21
Wales U21 vs Lithuania U21
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Wales U21 Compare
Top Goalscorer Colwill R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Koumas L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Lithuania U21 Compare
Top Goalscorer Burba M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.23
Avg xA / game 0.14
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Wales U21 19 / 100
Lithuania U21 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Wales U21 Lithuania U21
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick LIT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Lithuania U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 29 matches.
Wales U21 scored in 70% of their last 30 games.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Wales U21 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Wales U21 VS Lithuania U21
1 Goals Scored 0.25
2.63 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Wales U21
(Home) 31 Mar
Denmark U21
4 : 0 Wales U21
27 Mar
Wales U21
2 : 0 Belarus U21
14 Nov
Belarus U21
3 : 0 Wales U21
14 Oct
Austria U21
0 : 2 Wales U21
10 Oct
Wales U21
0 : 7 Belgium U21
Page 1 of 6
27 Mar
Wales U21
2 : 0 Belarus U21
10 Oct
Wales U21
0 : 7 Belgium U21
08 Sept
Wales U21
2 : 6 Denmark U21
06 Jun
Wales U21
0 : 4 Norway U21
23 Mar
Wales U21
1 : 1 Sweden U21
Page 1 of 4
Lithuania U21
(Away) 09 Jun
Lithuania U21
2 : 2 Latvia U21
07 Jun
Estonia U21
2 : 2 Lithuania U21
27 Mar
Ukraine U21
1 : 1 Lithuania U21
18 Nov
Lithuania U21
1 : 2 Turkey U21
13 Nov
Croatia U21
4 : 0 Lithuania U21
Page 1 of 6
07 Jun
Estonia U21
2 : 2 Lithuania U21
27 Mar
Ukraine U21
1 : 1 Lithuania U21
13 Nov
Croatia U21
4 : 0 Lithuania U21
14 Oct
Netherlands U21
2 : 0 Lithuania U21
10 Oct
Turkey U21
2 : 0 Lithuania U21
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Italy U21 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 27:4 | 22 |
| 2 | Norway U21 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 28:11 | 19 |
| 3 | Ireland U21 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 24:12 | 19 |
| 4 | Turkey U21 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 21:15 | 13 |
| 5 | Latvia U21 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10:18 | 11 |
| 6 | San Marino U21 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1:51 | 0 |
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain U21 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 28:5 | 28 |
| 2 | Belgium U21 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 13:6 | 19 |
| 3 | Scotland U21 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19:11 | 16 |
| 4 | Hungary U21 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 12:8 | 16 |
| 5 | Kazakhstan U21 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 13:24 | 9 |
| 6 | Malta U21 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4:35 | 0 |
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Netherlands U21 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 32:3 | 30 |
| 2 | Georgia U21 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 14:10 | 19 |
| 3 | Sweden U21 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 25:10 | 17 |
| 4 | North Macedonia U21 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 8:15 | 12 |
| 5 | Moldova U21 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7:20 | 7 |
| 6 | Gibraltar U21 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 3:31 | 3 |
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Germany U21 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 35:10 | 26 |
| 2 | Poland U21 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 24:10 | 22 |
| 3 | Bulgaria U21 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17:12 | 15 |
| 4 | Kosovo U21 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:17 | 12 |
| 5 | Estonia U21 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7:31 | 7 |
| 6 | Israel U21 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 5:18 | 3 |
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Romania U21 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 23:10 | 22 |
| 2 | Finland U21 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 21:8 | 20 |
| 3 | Switzerland U21 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 21:12 | 18 |
| 4 | Albania U21 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 12:17 | 16 |
| 5 | Montenegro U21 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8:19 | 7 |
| 6 | Armenia U21 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2:21 | 2 |
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)
League Standings (Group 6)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | England U21 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 41:6 | 25 |
| 2 | Ukraine U21 | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 20:7 | 24 |
| 3 | Serbia U21 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 13:18 | 16 |
| 4 | Northern Ireland U21 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10:10 | 11 |
| 5 | Luxembourg U21 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6:23 | 8 |
| 6 | Azerbaijan U21 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4:30 | 3 |
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)
League Standings (Group 7)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portugal U21 | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 33:6 | 27 |
| 2 | Croatia U21 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 20:14 | 22 |
| 3 | Greece U21 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16:10 | 17 |
| 4 | Faroe Islands U21 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11:24 | 10 |
| 5 | Belarus U21 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 6:20 | 6 |
| 6 | Andorra U21 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 4:16 | 3 |
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)
League Standings (Group 8)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slovenia U21 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13:7 | 17 |
| 2 | France U21 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 22:6 | 16 |
| 3 | Austria U21 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12:6 | 15 |
| 4 | Cyprus U21 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7:23 | 5 |
| 5 | Bosnia & Herzegovina U21 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5:17 | 3 |
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)
League Standings (Group 9)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Denmark U21 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 18:8 | 17 |
| 2 | Czech Republic U21 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:11 | 14 |
| 3 | Wales U21 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:11 | 14 |
| 4 | Iceland U21 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 9:14 | 9 |
| 5 | Lithuania U21 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7:16 | 3 |
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)
