Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Wales vs Northern Ireland

World World

Friendly International Cardiff City Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Donley J.
38'
Brooks D.
46'
Sub
Colwill J. In: James D.
Out: Colwill J.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International game between Wales and Northern Ireland finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Wales
6%
Draws
4%
Northern Ireland
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Wales

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Wales's 1.63 goals per match outpaces what Northern Ireland have produced (1).
  • Model gives Wales a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Wales Clean Sheet 68%
Northern Ireland Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wales Northern Ireland
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 12
Draws 10 5
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.63 1
Goals Conceded 1.5 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2026 Friendly International
Wales vs Northern Ireland
1:1
Jun 25, 2016 Euro
Wales vs Northern Ireland
1:0
Mar 24, 2016 Friendly International
Wales vs Northern Ireland
1:1
May 27, 2011 Nations Cup
Wales vs Northern Ireland
2:0
May 27, 2011 Friendly International
Wales vs Northern Ireland
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wales Compare

Top Goalscorer Thomas S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Northern Ireland Compare

Top Goalscorer Donley J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wales 95 / 100
Northern Ireland 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wales Northern Ireland

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wales found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Northern Ireland has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Wales went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Wales VS Northern Ireland
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%