Sport Picks

Europe

UEFA Nations League Women Racecourse Ground

Wales W

1 - 1

Sweden W

Our Tip

Match Events

14'

Angeldal F.

Assist: Vinberg M.

43'

Powell E.

46'

Sub

Joel L. In: Fishlock J.

Out: Joel L.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this UEFA Nations League Women matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Wales W

Draws

Sweden W

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Wales W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Sweden W have won more games recently than Wales W.
Model gives Wales W a 90% chance of winning this.
Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%

Wales W Clean Sheet 20%

Sweden W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Wales W	Sweden W
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	12	15
Draws	8	7
Losses	10	8
Goals Scored	2.5	0.75
Goals Conceded	1.63	1.38
Expected Goals (xG)	2.50	0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women

Sweden W vs Wales W

Possession: 55% - 47% Cards: 1 - 3

1:1

Feb 25, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women

Wales W vs Sweden W

Possession: 56% - 47% Cards: 1 - 3

1:1

Aug 25, 2010 World Cup Women

Sweden W vs Wales W

Possession: 52% - 57% Cards: 4 - 0

5:1

Mar 31, 2010 World Cup Women

Wales W vs Sweden W

Possession: 42% - 42% Cards: 4 - 4

0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wales W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.92

Avg xA / game 1.25

Sweden W Compare

Top Goalscorer Angeldal F.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wales W 85 / 100

Sweden W 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Wales W Sweden W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WAL Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wales W found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Wales W has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Sweden W conceded in 53% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Wales W VS Sweden W

2.5 Goals Scored 0.75

1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38

88% Over 1.5 50%

75% Over 2.5 50%

63% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Germany W	6	5	1	0	26:4	16
2	Netherlands W	6	3	2	1	11:10	11
3	Austria W	6	2	0	4	5:16	6
4	Scotland W	6	0	1	5	3:15	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	France W	6	6	0	0	14:2	18
2	Norway W	6	2	2	2	4:5	8
3	Iceland W	6	0	4	2	6:9	4
4	Switzerland W	6	0	2	4	4:12	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Spain W	6	5	0	1	21:8	15
2	England W	6	3	1	2	16:6	10
3	Belgium W	6	2	0	4	9:16	6
4	Portugal W	6	1	1	4	5:21	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sweden W	6	3	3	0	13:6	12
2	Italy W	6	3	1	2	11:7	10
3	Denmark W	6	3	0	3	8:13	9
4	Wales W	6	0	2	4	4:10	2