Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Wallern/St Marienkirchen vs Treibach

Austria Austria

Regionalliga Central
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Wallern/St Marienkirchen play Treibach in the Regionalliga Central. Wallern/St Marienkirchen are favorites here. Recently, Wallern/St Marienkirchen averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.53 conceded. Treibach averaged 1.24 goals scored and 2.31 conceded. In past meetings, Wallern/St Marienkirchen won 3, Treibach won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 30, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.75 for Wallern/St Marienkirchen and 1.19 for Treibach. This points to a Wallern/St Marienkirchen double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Wallern/St Marienkirchen
17%
Draws
27%
Treibach
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Wallern/St Marienkirchen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

83% / High Confidence
  • Wallern/St Marienkirchen picked up more points recently compared to Treibach.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.75 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 60%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Over 3.5 Goals 36%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%
Wallern/St Marienkirchen Clean Sheet 20%
Treibach Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wallern/St Marienkirchen Treibach
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 8
Draws 5 3
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 1.5 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.53 2.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2026 Regionalliga Central
Wallern/St Marienkirchen vs Treibach
2:0
Oct 3, 2025 Regionalliga Central
Treibach vs Wallern/St Marienkirchen
0:1
Feb 28, 2025 Regionalliga Central
Wallern/St Marienkirchen vs Treibach
3:0
Aug 2, 2024 Regionalliga Central
Treibach vs Wallern/St Marienkirchen
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wallern/St Marienkirchen Compare

Top Goalscorer Acheampong E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Treibach Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wallern/St Marienkirchen 54 / 100
Treibach 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wallern/St Marienkirchen Treibach

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Wallern/St Marienkirchen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Wallern/St Marienkirchen & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +16.5%
2.08
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.85
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Wallern/St Marienkirchen attacking → ← attacking Treibach

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wallern/St Marienkirchen scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Treibach let in goals in 97% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Wallern/St Marienkirchen went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Treibach lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

44 Points in last 5 27
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1ASK Voitsberg302622113:2180
2Union Gurten30204659:2864
3LASK Linz (Am)30156966:4451
4Deutschlandsberger Wonisch30149760:5251
5SC Kalsdorf301541159:5349
6Atus Velden301371050:4746
7Lafnitz301261255:6042
8Wallern/St Marienkirchen301241444:5140
9SC Weiz301091161:6639
10Wolfsberger AC (Am)30971445:4634
11Dietach30951633:5732
12Gleisdorf30791443:7230
13Ried (Am)30741941:7225
14Treibach30732035:7124
15Weindorf St. Anna30252322:7611
16ASKO Oedt301510562:3255